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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 1K | $0.900 | $999.5 | +$99.5 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 148.99 | $0.970 | $144.57 | Dec 12, 2025 |
|
| No |
| 600 |
| $0.890 |
| $579.9 |
| +$45.9 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1K | $0.460 | $395 | -$65 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 250.32 | $0.850 | $201.88 | -$10.89 |
 Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 500 | $0.460 | $197.5 | -$32.5 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 1.59K | $0.427 | $119.24 | -$559.19 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 50 | $0.770 | $48.03 | +$9.53 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 2.99K | $0.197 | $34.43 | -$554.35 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 27.07 | $0.900 | $23.48 | -$0.88 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.938 | $14.1 | -$173.5 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 49.98 | $0.170 | $2.75 | -$5.75 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 442.7 | $0.007 | $0.22 | -$2.88 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.890 |
| $89 |
| Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 500 | $0.890 | $445 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Scott Bessent throw a punch?No | buy | 103.72 | $0.984 | $102.07 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.508 | $507.9 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Scott Bessent throw a punch?No | buy | 609.58 | $0.986 | $600.8 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 500 | $0.964 | $481.97 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.748 | $374.06 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Bank of England rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 60.23 | $0.978 | $58.9 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.34 | $0.950 | $1.27 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 648.05 | $0.900 | $583.15 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500.88 | $0.730 | $365.64 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.42K | $0.660 | $938.68 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | sell | 977.46 | $0.960 | $938.36 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.45K | $0.690 | $1K | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.104 | $104.22 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?No | buy | 306.31 | $0.340 | $104.15 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?No | sell | 101.04 | $0.986 | $99.66 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?No | buy | 898.27 | $0.345 | $309.91 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump resign in 2025?No | sell | 300 | $0.973 | $291.91 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025?No | sell | 355 | $0.959 | $340.5 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?No | buy | 1.78K | $0.434 | $773.56 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.59K | $0.890 | $1.41K | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 587.56 | $0.860 | $505.3 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 281.4 | $0.560 | $157.58 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.51 | $0.171 | $0.94 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Will Scott Bessent throw a punch?No | buy | 500 | $0.968 | $483.98 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 New arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.948 | $94.8 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Tremendous" during the Fox News interview on September 18?Yes | buy | 38.61 | $0.730 | $28.19 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.790 | $790 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 60.08 | $0.910 | $54.67 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Young People" during Fox & Friends appearance on September 12?Yes | buy | 7.16 | $0.780 | $5.58 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?No | buy | 132.24 | $0.910 | $120.34 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Radical Left" during Fox & Friends appearance on September 12?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.830 | $30.71 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Radical Left" during Fox & Friends appearance on September 12?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.820 | $41 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30?No | buy | 304.66 | $0.987 | $300.7 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?No | buy | 1K | $0.900 | $900 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by September meeting?Yes | buy | 194.85 | $0.973 | $189.59 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.400 | $15.2 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.210 | $210 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 250.17 | $0.400 | $100.07 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 289.32 | $0.450 | $130.19 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 300.54 | $0.450 | $135.24 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.450 | $135 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.17 | $0.770 | $11.68 | Aug 24, 2025 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.27K | $0.160 | $362.61 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.94K | $0.170 | $500.48 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.65K | $0.530 | $873.85 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.17K | $0.480 | $562.68 | Aug 9, 2025 |