Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 4.3 | $0.930 | $4.21 | +$0.21 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.930 | $1.17 | May 27, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 4.21 |
| $0.950 |
| $4.05 |
| +$0.05 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? | No | 4.06 | $0.985 | $3.95 | -$0.05 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.17 | $0.600 | $2.45 | +$0.55 |
 Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2.15 | +$0.15 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | No | 2.12 | $0.945 | $2.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2.04 | $0.978 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 2.03 | $0.984 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 2.09 | $0.956 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | No | 2.02 | $0.989 | $2 | +$0 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 2.08 | $0.960 | $1.97 | -$0.03 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 2.24 | $0.580 | $1.93 | +$0.64 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 1.26 | $0.930 | $1.25 | +$0.08 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 2.16 | $0.924 | $0.36 | -$1.64 |
| buy |
| 1.49 |
| $0.730 |
| $1.09 |
| May 23, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.730 | $1.09 | May 23, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.600 | $1.9 | May 22, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 13.63 | $0.080 | $1.09 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No | buy | 1.71 | $0.972 | $1.66 | May 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No | buy | 3.55 | $0.750 | $2.66 | May 5, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.920 | $1.09 | May 5, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 0.91 | $0.560 | $0.51 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.333 | $0.01 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.3 | $0.333 | $0.1 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.3 | $0.333 | $0.1 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.333 | $0.01 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 1.71 | $0.860 | $1.47 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.77 | $0.330 | $0.25 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.37 | $0.311 | $0.12 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.985 | $1.09 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.38 | $0.332 | $0.13 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.38 | $0.333 | $0.13 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.38 | $0.303 | $0.12 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.95 | $0.266 | $0.25 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.38 | $0.263 | $0.1 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 0.27 | $0.700 | $0.19 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 0.37 | $0.700 | $0.26 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 0.13 | $0.700 | $0.09 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.700 | $0.01 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.700 | $0.04 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 0.41 | $0.700 | $0.29 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 0.53 | $0.700 | $0.37 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.700 | $0.01 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.700 | $0.01 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.38 | $0.690 | $0.26 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 5.74 | $0.190 | $1.09 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.640 | $0.02 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.371 | $0.04 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.25 | $0.361 | $0.09 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.590 | $0.02 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.37 | $0.398 | $0.15 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.37 | $0.370 | $0.14 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.37 | $0.690 | $0.26 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.988 | $1.09 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.34 | $0.320 | $0.11 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.620 | $0.02 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.310 | $0.01 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.580 | $0.01 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.37 | $0.431 | $0.16 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.680 | $0.03 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.670 | $0.01 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.670 | $0.01 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.670 | $0.03 | Apr 15, 2026 |