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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 218.74 | $0.914 | $215.13 | +$15.13 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 40.32 | $0.620 | $25 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 268.82 |
| $0.372 |
| $135.08 |
| +$35.08 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 134.08 | $0.895 | $128.92 | +$8.92 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 108.7 | $0.920 | $105.38 | +$5.38 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 1.37K | $0.131 | $75.61 | -$104.39 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 365.49 | $0.246 | $73.65 | -$16.35 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 40.32 | $0.620 | $37.7 | +$12.7 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 43.48 | $0.230 | $34.57 | +$24.57 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 24.1 | $0.830 | $23.41 | +$3.41 |
 Will US annex any territory in 2026? | No | 23.81 | $0.840 | $22.56 | +$2.56 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 24.39 | $0.820 | $22.32 | +$2.32 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20.9 | +$0.9 |
 Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? | No | 21.96 | $0.911 | $20.09 | +$0.09 |
 Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | No | 23.26 | $0.430 | $19.42 | +$9.42 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.750 | $18.8 | +$3.8 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 16.67 | $0.600 | $13.92 | +$3.92 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 14.49 | $0.690 | $13.55 | +$3.55 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 11.24 | $0.890 | $11 | +$1 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10.74 | +$0.74 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026? | Yes | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10.57 | +$0.57 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10.48 | +$0.48 |
 Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10.28 | +$0.28 |
 Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10.09 | +$0.09 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 36.36 | $0.550 | $10 | -$10 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 12.66 | $0.790 | $8.67 | -$1.33 |
| buy |
| 687.31 |
| $0.102 |
| $70 |
| Jun 6, 2026 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes | buy | 103.45 | $0.290 | $30 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | buy | 26.67 | $0.750 | $20 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Elon Musk by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 124.17 | $0.081 | $10 | May 21, 2026 |
 Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?No | buy | 74.91 | $0.267 | $20 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 144.92 | $0.069 | $10 | May 21, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 555.01 | $0.180 | $100 | May 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | May 13, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 355.68 | $0.141 | $50 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.52K | $0.014 | $50 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 898.81 | $0.056 | $50 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 22.68 | $0.441 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 434.78 | $0.023 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.011 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.008 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.006 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.005 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.004 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.004 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.003 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.380 | $20 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20K | $0.005 | $100 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.88K | $0.017 | $100 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 365.49 | $0.246 | $90 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 268.82 | $0.372 | $100 | May 9, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | May 9, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 107.41 | $0.931 | $100 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 37.88 | $0.264 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MayNothing | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 232.49 | $0.730 | $169.72 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 14.53 | $0.670 | $9.74 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?Yes | buy | 21.59 | $0.463 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.017 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 36.95 | $0.403 | $14.89 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?Yes | buy | 143 | $0.070 | $10 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.080 | $99.74 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.160 | $100 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?No | buy | 143.33 | $0.870 | $124.7 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?No | buy | 120.89 | $0.827 | $100 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?No | buy | 167.86 | $0.830 | $139.27 | Jan 23, 2026 |