Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.250 | $0.77 | -$4.23 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 544 | $0.005 | $2.72 | Apr 6, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 250 |
| $0.020 |
| $0.38 |
| -$4.63 |
| Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 625 | $0.004 | $0.31 | -$2.19 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 27.78 | $0.180 | $0.31 | -$4.69 |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 544 | $0.005 | $0.27 | -$2.45 |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 539.42 | $0.009 | $0.27 | -$4.73 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.100 | $0.15 | -$4.85 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 85.41 | $0.059 | $0.13 | -$4.87 |
| buy |
| 539.42 |
| $0.009 |
| $5 |
| Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.004 | $2.5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 85.41 | $0.059 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.976 | $9.76 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.130 | $6.5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | sell | 36.66 | $0.070 | $2.57 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | sell | 26.88 | $0.072 | $1.94 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | sell | 15.93 | $0.070 | $1.12 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.090 | $1.61 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump resign in 2025?Yes | sell | 64.1 | $0.031 | $1.99 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.132 | $3.67 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.050 | $1.79 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.080 | $1.82 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.049 | $2.45 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.070 | $11.67 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 30.89 | $0.081 | $2.5 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.996 | $1.01 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 24.5 | $0.200 | $4.9 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.090 | $15 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?No | sell | 5.6 | $0.930 | $5.21 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Trump approval >45% on July 1?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 14.35 | $0.209 | $3 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.025 | $2 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.140 | $2.5 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | buy | 15.94 | $0.157 | $2.5 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | buy | 26.88 | $0.093 | $2.5 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.070 | $2.5 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.110 | $2.5 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.090 | $2.5 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 22.09 | $0.634 | $14.01 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump resign in 2025?Yes | buy | 64.1 | $0.039 | $2.5 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.050 | $2.5 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Trump approval >40% on July 1?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.044 | $2 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Jun 19, 2025 |