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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 63.64 | $0.471 | $51.23 | +$21.23 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | 26d ago |
 |
| No |
| 33.6 |
| $0.893 |
| $33.48 |
| +$3.48 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 25 | $0.800 | $24.61 | +$4.61 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 25.32 | $0.790 | $23.67 | +$3.67 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 23.81 | $0.420 | $20.36 | +$10.36 |
 Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)? | Yes | 22.03 | $0.908 | $20.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 100.98 | $0.109 | $11.61 | +$0.61 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 205.26 | $0.146 | $11.6 | -$18.4 |
 Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026? | Yes | 16.13 | $0.062 | $11.3 | +$10.3 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10.88 | +$0.88 |
 Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | Yes | 71.58 | $0.070 | $6.12 | +$1.12 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5.62 | +$0.62 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 186.78 | $0.070 | $2.33 | -$10.67 |
 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | Yes | 26.32 | $0.190 | $1.45 | -$3.55 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 357.14 | $0.014 | $0.54 | -$4.46 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.007 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026? | Yes | 18.52 | $0.270 | $0.22 | -$4.78 |
 Will 100 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026? | Yes | 9.62 | $0.520 | $0 | -$5 |
| buy |
| 34.48 |
| $0.029 |
| $1 |
| 26d ago |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | 26d ago |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.029 | $2 | 26d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | 26d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.26 | $0.975 | $10 | 26d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | 26d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | 26d ago |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.062 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 56.77 | $0.088 | $5 | 27d ago |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 69.63 | $0.072 | $5 | 27d ago |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 59.08 | $0.085 | $5 | 27d ago |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 74.72 | $0.067 | $5 | 27d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | 27d ago |
| Will 100 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | 27d ago |
| Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | 27d ago |
| Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?Yes | buy | 22.03 | $0.908 | $20 | 27d ago |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Yes | buy | 71.58 | $0.070 | $5 | 27d ago |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | 27d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | 27d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | 27d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | 27d ago |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.011 | $5 | 27d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 31.16 | $0.963 | $30 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.720 | $20 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?No | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.440 | $20 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 92.64 | $0.108 | $10 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 1.38K | $0.004 | $5 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.19 | $0.981 | $10 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 31.09 | $0.965 | $30 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.014 | $5 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | May 2, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.24 | $0.942 | $20 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 85.37 | $0.059 | $5 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | May 1, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 10.11 | $0.989 | $10 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 12.74 | $0.785 | $10 | May 1, 2026 |