Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 11.08 | $0.546 | $10.36 | +$4.31 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes | buy | 2.14 | $0.470 | $1.01 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 6.71 |
| $0.451 |
| $6.07 |
| +$3.05 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 5.84 | $0.861 | $5.64 | +$0.62 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | No | 5.41 | $0.928 | $5.09 | +$0.07 |
 Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.160 | $4.27 | +$3.47 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 4.23 | $0.949 | $4.11 | +$0.09 |
 Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 3.66 | $0.551 | $3.66 | +$1.64 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 3.27 | $0.924 | $3.21 | +$0.19 |
 Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 3.11 | $0.648 | $2.9 | +$0.89 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 5.14 | $0.783 | $2.75 | -$1.28 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 2.72 | $0.370 | $2.54 | +$1.54 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2.5 | $0.804 | $2.5 | +$0.49 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10 | $0.302 | $2.43 | -$0.6 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 2.38 | $0.845 | $2.34 | +$0.33 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 5 | $0.123 | $2.32 | +$1.71 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | No | 2.97 | $0.340 | $2.27 | +$1.26 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | No | 2.29 | $0.440 | $2.24 | +$1.23 |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | No | 2.33 | $0.865 | $2.22 | +$0.21 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4.24 | $0.475 | $2.18 | +$0.17 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 2.52 | $0.400 | $2.18 | +$1.17 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 2.17 | $0.925 | $2.09 | +$0.08 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 2.38 | $0.845 | $2.07 | +$0.06 |
 Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2.07 | $0.969 | $2.07 | +$0.06 |
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Yes | 2.72 | $0.740 | $2.05 | +$0.04 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | Yes | 2.19 | $0.460 | $1.99 | +$0.99 |
| buy |
| 2.02 |
| $0.500 |
| $1.01 |
| Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.00 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.04 | $0.250 | $1.01 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.490 | $1.01 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No | buy | 2.24 | $0.450 | $1.01 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party win between 220 and 234 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.940 | $1.01 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.952 | $1.01 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of February?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.923 | $1.01 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?No | buy | 2.58 | $0.390 | $1.01 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.680 | $1.01 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.670 | $1.01 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.828 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.2 | $0.240 | $1.01 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will The White Lotus win Best Producer of a TV Drama Series at the 37th PGA Awards?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.960 | $1.01 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes | buy | 1.17 | $0.860 | $1.01 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.860 | $1.01 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?Yes | buy | 1.24 | $0.810 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 3.6 | $0.280 | $1.01 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.74 | $0.270 | $1.01 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.931 | $1.01 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.932 | $1.01 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.954 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Warren Buffett be 2nd richest person on March 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.960 | $1.01 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during the State of the Union address?No | buy | 2.52 | $0.400 | $1.01 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Efecto be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes | buy | 2.24 | $0.450 | $1.01 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?No | buy | 2.46 | $0.410 | $1.01 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?No | buy | 4.59 | $0.220 | $1.01 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.8 | $0.560 | $1.01 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 1.36 | $0.740 | $1.01 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.14 | $0.470 | $1.01 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.600 | $1.01 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.680 | $1.01 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?No | buy | 2.29 | $0.440 | $1.01 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes | buy | 2.4 | $0.420 | $1.01 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?No | buy | 3.15 | $0.320 | $1.01 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 6, 2026?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.610 | $1.01 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.14 | $0.470 | $1.01 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?No | buy | 2.24 | $0.450 | $1.01 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Yes | buy | 2.65 | $0.380 | $1.01 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 2 above $270?Yes | buy | 1.77 | $0.570 | $1.01 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.750 | $1.01 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.923 | $1.01 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.500 | $1.01 | Feb 3, 2026 |