Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 700B and 800B? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $2.57 | +$1.57 |
 Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.85 | $0.370 | $1.05 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 2.17 |
| $0.460 |
| $1.92 |
| +$0.92 |
 Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1.55 | +$0.55 |
 Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026? | Yes | 4.97 | $0.055 | $1.45 | +$1.17 |
 Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1500.00 and 1549.99 at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 10.53 | $0.095 | $1.35 | +$0.35 |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B? | Yes | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1550.00 and 1599.99 at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 7.64 | $0.096 | $1.23 | +$0.5 |
 Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | Yes | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? | No | 2.56 | $0.390 | $0.94 | -$0.06 |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 600B and 700B? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.110 | $0.92 | -$0.08 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1350.00 and 1399.99 at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 9.26 | $0.108 | $0.82 | -$0.18 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.79 | -$0.21 |
 Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 1.26 | $0.654 | $0.77 | -$0.06 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.210 | $0.64 | -$0.36 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.180 | $0.61 | -$0.39 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 20.83 | $0.048 | $0.6 | -$0.4 |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026? | Yes | 20.83 | $0.048 | $0.58 | -$0.42 |
 Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.160 | $0.52 | -$0.48 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1450.00 and 1499.99 at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.123 | $0.51 | -$0.1 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.028 | $0.48 | -$0.08 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes | 23.26 | $0.043 | $0.48 | -$0.52 |
 Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%? | Yes | 2 | $0.500 | $0.47 | -$0.53 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.? | Yes | 3.45 | $0.290 | $0.47 | -$0.53 |
 Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.46 | -$0.54 |
 Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? | Yes | 11.5 | $0.078 | $0.43 | -$0.47 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.230 |
| $1.15 |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.320 | $1.39 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.450 | $1.8 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Yes | sell | 10.63 | $0.325 | $3.45 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?Yes | sell | 7.05 | $0.340 | $2.4 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 11.43 | $0.981 | $11.21 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 63 | $0.009 | $0.58 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.180 | $1.2 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.490 | $1.53 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 7.38 | $0.349 | $2.58 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETUp | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.350 | $1.17 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.85 | $0.460 | $1.31 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.516 | $4.69 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 10.41 | $0.512 | $5.33 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.170 | $1.55 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.190 | $1.73 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.170 | $1.21 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.290 | $1.04 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 2.17 | $0.510 | $1.11 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 3.22 | $0.480 | $1.55 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Yes | sell | 9.17 | $0.176 | $1.61 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.50% and 2.24%?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.110 | $1.22 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.320 | $1.78 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.61 | $0.225 | $1.26 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.510 | $1.04 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 4.85 | $0.360 | $1.75 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 96.25 | $0.012 | $1.16 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 6.0%?Yes | sell | 268.95 | $0.004 | $1.08 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.260 | $1.04 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in March?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.015 | $1.36 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | sell | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the April Meeting?Yes | sell | 18.51 | $0.058 | $1.07 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| ECB rate cut in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.84 | $0.270 | $1.04 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on March 10?Down | sell | 12.44 | $0.270 | $3.36 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - March 10, 6AM ETDown | sell | 4.37 | $0.960 | $4.2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETDown | buy | 4.1 | $0.240 | $0.98 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETDown | buy | 5.19 | $0.190 | $0.99 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - March 10, 6AM ETUp | buy | 2.96 | $0.330 | $0.98 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 6AM ETUp | buy | 7.64 | $0.130 | $0.99 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 XRP Up or Down - March 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETUp | sell | 4.54 | $0.740 | $3.36 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6AM ETUp | buy | 8.29 | $0.120 | $0.99 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETDown | sell | 2.4 | $0.780 | $1.87 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETUp | buy | 3.16 | $0.309 | $0.98 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 8.42 | $0.057 | $0.48 | Mar 10, 2026 |