Analytics
Yes is at 58.5%, up 26 points from 32% when the market opened on 23 Jan 2026.
Across the 247 daily closes on record from 23 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (33 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 63.5% on 11 Sep 2026 and the lowest 12.5% on 22 Jun 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 52.5%; a month before, 32.5%. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 55% on 12 May 2026.
0.6 – 1.0% is the favourite of the 9 outcomes in “China Annual Inflation 2026”, ahead of 1.1 – 1.5% at 21%.
$10.17 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $24.89K since listing. The order book holds $1.7K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $3.39K bought Yes and $1.5K bought No.
The largest Yes position is MaxEnt with 3.8K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 3K. Ten wallets hold 87.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 10 Jan 2027, 74 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 247 points, 23 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2026 | 32.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 58.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MaxEnt | Yes | 3.76K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.02K |
| AiBird | No | 993.65 |
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report. The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/china-annual-inflation-2026
| FrozenParasite |
| No |
| 891.78 |
| k1ngslayer | Yes | 702.25 |
| Anjun | No | 554.99 |
| BornAgain26 | Yes | 230 |
| Hugin-og-Munin | Yes | 160 |
| TrashGirl | No | 137.52 |
| Neon Atlas F332 | Yes | 131 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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