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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 972.5 | $0.635 | $889.84 | +$272.25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 10?No | buy | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | 15m ago |
|
| Yes |
| 674 |
| $0.615 |
| $508.87 |
| +$94.52 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | No | 300 | $0.979 | $298.95 | +$5.38 |
 Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? | Yes | 319 | $0.678 | $295.08 | +$78.91 |
 Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? | Yes | 400.62 | $0.225 | $249.79 | +$159.55 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 969.5 | $0.370 | $208.44 | -$150.52 |
 Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft? | Yes | 360 | $0.399 | $189 | +$45.5 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 207 | $0.900 | $181.13 | -$5.18 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? | No | 186.14 | $0.856 | $179.44 | +$20.02 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 183.51 | $0.363 | $158.73 | +$92.06 |
 Spread: Miami (FL) (-56.5) | Florida A&M | 300 | $0.518 | $153 | -$2.47 |
 Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? | Yes | 165 | $0.407 | $140.5 | +$73.36 |
| Spread: Miami (FL) (-55.5) | Miami (FL) | 250 | $0.371 | $140 | +$47.21 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | 319.73 | $0.306 | $135.89 | +$37.95 |
 Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? | Yes | 150.5 | $0.200 | $128.68 | +$98.58 |
| Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? | Yes | 454.3 | $0.215 | $128.34 | +$30.67 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? | Yes | 319.42 | $0.316 | $127.77 | +$26.92 |
| Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft? | Yes | 360 | $0.211 | $109.98 | +$33.97 |
 Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? | Yes | 191.6 | $0.119 | $109.6 | +$86.73 |
 Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? | Yes | 160 | $0.408 | $96.8 | +$31.49 |
 Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5) | Chicago Fire FC | 105.5 | $0.524 | $92.84 | +$37.53 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | Yes | 103 | $0.291 | $92.7 | +$62.7 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 96.85 | $0.290 | $89.59 | +$61.5 |
 Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5) | FC Bayern München | 88.6 | $0.900 | $88.07 | +$8.33 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? | No | 88 | $0.931 | $84.7 | +$2.76 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.870 |
| $8.7 |
| 15m ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 10?No | buy | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | 15m ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 10?No | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | 15m ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 11?No | buy | 6 | $0.630 | $3.78 | 16m ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 11?No | buy | 6 | $0.840 | $5.04 | 24m ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 11?No | buy | 6 | $0.940 | $5.64 | 24m ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 11?No | buy | 6 | $0.630 | $3.78 | 24m ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on September 11?No | buy | 6 | $0.980 | $5.88 | 24m ago |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 9?No | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | 43m ago |
 Will United Torah Judaism win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | 44m ago |
| Will United Torah Judaism win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | 44m ago |
| Will United Torah Judaism win 7-8% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | 44m ago |
| Will United Torah Judaism win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | 44m ago |
| Will United Torah Judaism win 8% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 5 | $0.970 | $4.85 | 44m ago |
 Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-09-13?No | buy | 7 | $0.750 | $5.25 | 48m ago |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election?No | buy | 6.5 | $0.240 | $1.56 | 55m ago |
 Games Total: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 8 | $0.200 | $1.6 | 1h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C or higher on September 9?No | buy | 5 | $0.995 | $4.98 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 9?No | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 9?No | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 9?No | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 9?No | buy | 5 | $0.980 | $4.9 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 9?No | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | 1h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 9?No | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on September 9?No | buy | 5 | $0.998 | $4.99 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 9?No | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 9?No | buy | 5 | $0.970 | $4.85 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on September 9?No | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on September 9?No | buy | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on September 10?No | buy | 5 | $0.970 | $4.85 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 10?No | buy | 6 | $0.710 | $4.26 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 10?No | buy | 6 | $0.830 | $4.98 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on September 10?No | buy | 0.77 | $0.940 | $0.72 | 1h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 10?No | buy | 6 | $0.490 | $2.94 | 1h ago |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 7 | $0.550 | $3.85 | 1h ago |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election?No | buy | 5 | $0.958 | $4.79 | 1h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 30%-35%?No | buy | 0.3 | $0.980 | $0.29 | 1h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 50%-55%?No | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | 1h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 45%-50%?No | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | 1h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 60% or more?No | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | 1h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 40%-45%?No | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | 1h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 20%-30%?No | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | 1h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 55%-60%?No | buy | 0.3 | $0.980 | $0.29 | 1h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 35%-40%?No | buy | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | 1h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 0%-20%?No | buy | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | 1h ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-02 House election by 15%-20%?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | 1h ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-02 House election by 10%-15%?No | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | 1h ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-02 House election by 5%-10%?No | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | 1h ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-02 House election by 0%-5%?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | 1h ago |