Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?

Resolved

Yes, settled Apr 30, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$127.5K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Apr 30, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 30 Apr 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 83.5% on 1 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 65 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2026 to 30 Apr 2026 (24 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 30 Apr 2026 and the lowest 50% on 18 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 50% on 18 Mar 2026. $127.52K traded over the market's life.

89 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 1, 1:18 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 65 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 30 Apr 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
1 Feb 2026	83.5%
30 Apr 2026	100.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	36.24K
k56	No	3.32K
koncity	No	2.11K

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.