Analytics
Yes is at 2.1%, down 12 points from 14% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 335 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 27 Oct 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 14.5% on 13 Nov 2025 and the lowest 1.6% on 2 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.8%; a month before, 2.9%.
$634.79 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.12M since listing. The order book holds $13.19K, with a 1.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $30.04 bought Yes and $5.86K bought No; the largest was a $2.23K buy of No at 98.5¢.
The largest Yes position is Wojtek with 7K shares; the largest No position is llh with 10.3K. Ten wallets hold 29.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 7:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 335 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 27 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 14.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 2.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| llh | No | 10.26K |
| Wojtek | Yes | 7.02K |
| Fixed-Reversal | Yes | 6.23K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of the People's Republic of China (PRC) explicitly announces that Chinese citizens will be allowed to legally buy Bitcoin with yuan (renminbi) from inside China by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the PRC announces this change will take place. Whether it actually does will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the PRC, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-china-unban-bitcoin-by-2027
| 00008888 |
| Yes |
| 5.83K |
| gtowagger | Yes | 5.75K |
| ElChucoSiempre | Yes | 3.79K |
| Jessica111 | No | 3.68K |
| Rewarding-Grief | Yes | 2.92K |
| Golden Maven CFCA | Yes | 2.74K |
| io3 | Yes | 2.69K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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