Latest trade
Apr 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 4:56 PM UTC.
Analytics
ElChucoSiempre has made $1.43K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 47 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 4:56 PM UTC.
$97.5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 35 markets; 68.0% were buys. They run from Jan 3, 2026 UTC to Apr 16, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 2.47K | $0.202 | $160.86 | -$339.14 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?Yes | buy | 700.61 | $0.025 | $17.19 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-01 06:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 16:56 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 16:56 UTC
polymarket positions
48 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-01 06:03 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $9.13K and losing ones cost $628.38 across 47 settled positions. 59.6% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.95K on “Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?” (Yes); the largest loss, $100 on “Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 25?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 16 Apr 2026. It has traded 108 markets. Its open positions are worth $252.72 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 3.79K |
| $0.079 |
| $83.4 |
| -$216.6 |
 Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | Yes | 677 | $0.148 | $8.46 | -$91.54 |
| buy |
| 811.44 |
| $0.025 |
| $20 |
| Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.046 | $50 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will US Bancorp (USB) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 342.72 | $0.053 | $18.11 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 Crude Oil all time high by April 30?Yes | buy | 706.78 | $0.028 | $20 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 205.24 | $0.049 | $10 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.060 | $30 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 677.48 | $0.015 | $10 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.060 | $60 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | sell | 810.41 | $0.172 | $139.12 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.52K | $0.056 | $84.68 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.11K | $0.180 | $200 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 2.96K | $0.998 | $2.95K | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.51K | $0.231 | $1.04K | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.180 | $200 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.05K | $0.390 | $800 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.81K | $0.721 | $1.3K | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?Yes | sell | 1.31K | $0.993 | $1.3K | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 3.05K | $0.280 | $854.08 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?Yes | sell | 952.38 | $0.897 | $854.08 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?Yes | buy | 380.57 | $0.299 | $113.79 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?Yes | sell | 415.89 | $0.068 | $28.28 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.160 | $9.41 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
 US strike on Mexico by January 31?Yes | sell | 212.95 | $0.034 | $7.24 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
 Bucks vs. NuggetsBucks | buy | 507.07 | $0.049 | $25 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 12?Yes | buy | 7.01K | $0.004 | $25 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Bill Clinton charged by January 31?Yes | sell | 695.99 | $0.011 | $7.65 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 810.41 | $0.123 | $100 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.19K | $0.210 | $250 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?Yes | buy | 930.48 | $0.107 | $100 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?Yes | sell | 213.23 | $0.151 | $32.28 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes | sell | 923.63 | $0.100 | $92.36 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.58K | $0.060 | $95 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
 Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?Yes | buy | 839.74 | $0.119 | $100 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 789.47 | $0.190 | $150 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
 Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 577.58 | $0.081 | $46.78 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?Yes | buy | 212.95 | $0.089 | $19 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 789.47 | $0.190 | $150 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.066 | $100 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.200 | $200 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.100 | $300 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?Yes | buy | 952.38 | $0.210 | $200 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.147 | $200 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.220 | $200 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.120 | $200 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?Yes | sell | 975.41 | $0.036 | $35.52 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?Yes | buy | 975.42 | $0.026 | $25 | Jan 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud?Yes | buy | 2.42K | $0.021 | $50 | Jan 3, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.