Analytics
Allow Google Analytics cookies to measure visits, navigation, completed signups and checkout starts on our website and app? Analytics identifiers last up to 180 days. Account details, searches, wallet addresses and payment details are excluded. Your choice is optional and you can change it anytime.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5.44 | +$0.44 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | May 14, 2026 |
![]() |
| No |
| 2.26 |
| $0.886 |
| $2.16 |
| +$0.16 |
China coup attempt before 2027? | No | 2.19 | $0.913 | $2.11 | +$0.11 |
AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 1.28 | $0.779 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $0.48 | -$0.52 |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes | 19.61 | $0.051 | $0.4 | -$0.6 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | No | 16.67 | $0.300 | $0.37 | -$4.63 |
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $0.33 | -$0.68 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.240 | $0.09 | -$1.91 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 8 | $0.250 | $0.05 | -$1.95 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.160 | $0.03 | -$1.97 |
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.01 | -$0.99 |
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 1.47 | $0.680 | $0 | -$1 |
| sell |
| 4.41 |
| $0.670 |
| $2.95 |
| May 14, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 7.07 | $0.424 | $3 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 4.69 | $0.640 | $3 | May 12, 2026 |
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 10?Yes | buy | 4.11 | $0.460 | $1.89 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 10?Yes | sell | 31.94 | $0.070 | $2.24 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 10?Yes | buy | 8.58 | $0.440 | $3.78 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 10?Yes | buy | 22.34 | $0.422 | $9.42 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 10?Yes | buy | 39.59 | $0.479 | $18.96 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 10?Yes | buy | 27.3 | $0.342 | $9.34 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 6.98 | $0.430 | $3 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 9?Yes | buy | 25.17 | $0.109 | $2.73 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 9?Yes | buy | 21.69 | $0.212 | $4.61 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 9?Yes | buy | 21.08 | $0.448 | $9.45 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 9?Yes | buy | 20.77 | $0.222 | $4.61 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No | buy | 5.76 | $0.500 | $2.88 | Apr 8, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 9 | $0.999 | $8.99 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 3?Yes | sell | 12.47 | $0.998 | $12.45 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 2?Yes | sell | 21.56 | $0.990 | $21.34 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 3?Yes | buy | 11.98 | $0.231 | $2.77 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 3?Yes | buy | 11.3 | $0.245 | $2.77 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 3?Yes | buy | 10.22 | $0.463 | $4.73 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 2?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.529 | $4.76 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 2?Yes | buy | 43.54 | $0.105 | $4.55 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 2?Yes | buy | 4.2 | $0.450 | $1.89 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 2?Yes | buy | 17.95 | $0.101 | $1.82 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 1?Yes | sell | 15.78 | $0.997 | $15.73 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.760 | $0.98 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 2?Yes | buy | 7.7 | $0.240 | $1.85 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 2?Yes | buy | 44.43 | $0.061 | $2.72 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 2?No | buy | 3.15 | $0.610 | $1.92 | Apr 2, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on March 30?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 1?Yes | buy | 11.7 | $0.251 | $2.93 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 1?Yes | buy | 16.01 | $0.305 | $4.88 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 1?Yes | buy | 3.91 | $0.250 | $0.98 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 1?Yes | buy | 3.91 | $0.250 | $0.98 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 30?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 1?Yes | sell | 21.75 | $0.056 | $1.21 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 1?Yes | sell | 9.72 | $0.300 | $2.92 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 1?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.740 | $0.83 | Mar 31, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Mar 30, 2026 |
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 1?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.880 | $0.98 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 |