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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 30.33K | $0.821 | $29.16K | +$4.25K |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.190 | $1.14 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 26.54K |
| $0.552 |
| $20.16K |
| +$5.49K |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 20.33K | $0.818 | $19.21K | +$2.58K |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | No | 15.04K | $0.162 | $14.69K | +$12.26K |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 12.78K | $0.813 | $12.01K | +$1.62K |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 11.89K | $0.343 | $11.03K | +$6.95K |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 11.19K | $0.858 | $11K | +$1.4K |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 37.47K | $0.434 | $9.01K | -$7.25K |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | No | 8.16K | $0.260 | $7.97K | +$5.85K |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 8.01K | $0.828 | $7.87K | +$1.25K |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 8.17K | $0.850 | $6.33K | -$609.72 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 8.36K | $0.601 | $5.73K | +$701.35 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 5.88K | $0.894 | $5.65K | +$388.84 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? | No | 5.55K | $0.642 | $5.35K | +$1.79K |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 5.13K | $0.886 | $4.96K | +$412.49 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 4.47K | $0.930 | $4.44K | +$288.19 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 4.69K | $0.819 | $4.36K | +$513.33 |
 Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 3.71K | $0.949 | $3.71K | +$189.13 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? | No | 3.75K | $0.590 | $3.51K | +$1.29K |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 9.84K | $0.404 | $3.49K | -$485.79 |
 Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | No | 3.42K | $0.955 | $3.3K | +$32.56 |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | No | 3.3K | $0.977 | $3.29K | +$56.49 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 3.32K | $0.426 | $3.15K | +$1.73K |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | No | 3.68K | $0.900 | $3.07K | -$239.26 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 3.08K | $0.941 | $2.67K | -$224.81 |
| buy |
| 21.23 |
| $0.095 |
| $2.02 |
| Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?Yes | buy | 1.19K | $0.095 | $112.65 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?No | buy | 71 | $0.959 | $68.09 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 713.12 | $0.350 | $249.59 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | sell | 1.54K | $0.039 | $59.74 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?No | sell | 3.5K | $0.800 | $2.8K | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?No | buy | 178.98 | $0.840 | $150.34 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.001 | $2.5 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 797.48 | $0.302 | $240.86 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.001 | $2.5 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.001 | $2.5 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.001 | $2.5 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.001 | $2.5 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.001 | $2.5 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.001 | $2.5 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.001 | $2.5 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.001 | $2.5 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 962 | $0.995 | $957.19 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.001 | $2.5 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.001 | $2.5 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 4.72K | $0.987 | $4.66K | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 5.71K | $0.980 | $5.59K | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No | buy | 9K | $0.995 | $8.96K | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.56K | $0.430 | $1.1K | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 270 | $0.590 | $159.3 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.93K | $0.540 | $1.58K | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 9K | $0.560 | $5.04K | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 1.57K | $0.140 | $220.46 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 6.22K | $0.200 | $1.24K | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 7.93K | $0.150 | $1.19K | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 9K | $0.150 | $1.35K | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 9K | $0.889 | $8K | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.79K | $0.890 | $6.93K | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 9K | $0.890 | $8.01K | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.08K | $0.931 | $1.93K | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.94K | $0.940 | $1.82K | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.08K | $0.925 | $1.92K | Apr 21, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 370.6 | $0.960 | $355.78 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 4.75K | $0.950 | $4.51K | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.06K | $0.995 | $2.05K | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 9K | $0.044 | $396 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 679 | $0.508 | $345.19 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 31.57 | $0.510 | $16.1 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No | buy | 854.93 | $0.986 | $842.96 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No | buy | 1K | $0.985 | $986.97 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No | buy | 158.87 | $0.985 | $156.49 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 136 | $0.909 | $123.62 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 0.25 | $0.909 | $0.23 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 1.65K | $0.994 | $1.64K | Apr 21, 2026 |