Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 426.77 | $0.825 | $399.03 | +$46.92 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 41 | $0.990 | $40.59 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 294.47 |
| $0.740 |
| $281.22 |
| +$63.31 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 289.59 | $0.660 | $250.5 | +$59.37 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | No | 266.73 | $0.871 | $241.39 | +$8.99 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 255.82 | $0.780 | $239.19 | +$39.67 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 212.74 | $0.700 | $192.53 | +$43.61 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 192.43 | $0.934 | $185.02 | +$5.22 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 172.79 | $0.560 | $133.91 | +$37.15 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | No | 126.73 | $0.668 | $125.14 | +$40.49 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 149.97 | $0.770 | $116.23 | +$0.75 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 117.04 | $0.840 | $104.75 | +$6.44 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 116.94 | $0.680 | $104.66 | +$25.14 |
 Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? | No | 100.1 | $0.940 | $98.39 | +$4.3 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 107.32 | $0.740 | $91.76 | +$12.34 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 90.67 | $0.556 | $84.37 | +$33.96 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 78.11 | $0.928 | $75.1 | +$2.62 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 48.42 | $0.920 | $46.94 | +$2.39 |
 Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title? | No | 35 | $0.570 | $34.46 | +$14.51 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 399.05 | $0.200 | $22.35 | -$57.46 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 199.92 | $0.250 | $14.99 | -$34.99 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 7.62 | $0.931 | $7.37 | +$0.27 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 2.14K | $0.007 | $1.07 | -$13.93 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1 | $0.965 | $0.99 | +$0.03 |
 Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? | No | 0.93 | $0.900 | $0.88 | +$0.04 |
 Ebola pandemic in 2026? | No | 0.84 | $0.930 | $0.81 | +$0.03 |
| sell |
| 576 |
| $0.990 |
| $570.24 |
| Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No | buy | 158.91 | $0.940 | $149.38 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?No | buy | 30.96 | $0.940 | $29.1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No | buy | 199.91 | $0.920 | $183.92 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No | buy | 217.26 | $0.920 | $199.88 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will s1mple retire by June 30?No | buy | 20.59 | $0.942 | $19.4 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?Yes | buy | 59.71 | $0.630 | $37.62 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?No | buy | 26.83 | $0.940 | $25.22 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No | buy | 119.78 | $0.500 | $59.89 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?No | buy | 42.31 | $0.940 | $39.77 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 49.5 | $0.960 | $47.52 | May 27, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 260 | $0.350 | $91 | May 27, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 178 | $0.990 | $176.22 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?No | sell | 71 | $0.772 | $54.81 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?No | sell | 70 | $0.802 | $56.14 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?No | sell | 100.35 | $0.803 | $80.58 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in May 2026?No | sell | 24 | $0.741 | $17.78 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in May 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No | sell | 106 | $0.950 | $100.7 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No | sell | 38 | $0.290 | $11.02 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No | sell | 37.75 | $0.961 | $36.28 | May 24, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 37 | $0.572 | $21.16 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | sell | 37 | $0.984 | $36.41 | May 24, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.573 | $57.3 | May 24, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 17.7 | $0.574 | $10.17 | May 24, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 95.4 | $0.600 | $57.24 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 88.75 | $0.520 | $46.15 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 107 | $0.290 | $31.03 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.280 | $56 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.350 | $2.63 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No | sell | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No | sell | 131.25 | $0.920 | $120.75 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No | sell | 141 | $0.330 | $46.53 | May 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 306.5 | $0.140 | $42.91 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No | sell | 32 | $0.340 | $10.88 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No | sell | 35 | $0.340 | $11.9 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 442.14 | $0.140 | $61.9 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No | sell | 9.33 | $0.340 | $3.17 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No | sell | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | May 23, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | sell | 155.69 | $0.200 | $31.14 | May 23, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | sell | 210.85 | $0.210 | $44.28 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No | sell | 50 | $0.950 | $47.5 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No | sell | 58.67 | $0.950 | $55.74 | May 23, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 183.75 | $0.360 | $66.15 | May 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | May 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 174.76 | $0.370 | $64.66 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 366 | $0.490 | $179.34 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 83.58 | $0.490 | $40.95 | May 23, 2026 |