Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.02 | -$0.99 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.54 | $0.003 | $0.01 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.126 |
| $0.63 |
| Jul 6, 2026 |
 Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?Yes | buy | 13.29 | $0.350 | $4.65 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Italy win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 9.56 | $0.135 | $1.29 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.027 | $0.81 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 28.15 | $0.012 | $0.34 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.003 | $0.3 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Macron out in 2025?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.011 | $1.1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.140 | $0.7 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.011 | $1.1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.064 | $1.59 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.066 | $4.95 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union"?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.050 | $0.22 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?Yes | sell | 199.98 | $0.022 | $4.4 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 French election called by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.38 | $0.780 | $1.86 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| US government shutdown in 2025?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Another France debt downgrade by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.98 | $0.860 | $6 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.080 | $1.04 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| France debt downgrade by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| French election called by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.019 | $1.05 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.062 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released on August 15 or later?Yes | buy | 64.69 | $0.015 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | sell | 2.21 | $0.996 | $2.2 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Thailand strikes Cambodia by August 31?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.210 | $1.17 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Tuesday?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Thailand strikes Cambodia by August 31?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union"?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom"?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.471 | $2.36 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by Sunday, July 27?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.900 | $1.2 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?No | sell | 1.42 | $0.821 | $1.17 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by Sunday, July 27?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jul 25, 2025 |