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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 120.01 | $0.822 | $99.01 | +$0.4 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.150 | $0.75 | 26d ago |
|
| No |
| 176.62 |
| $0.191 |
| $27.38 |
| -$6.4 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Yes | 35 | $0.410 | $14.7 | +$0.35 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 12.43 | $0.660 | $10.5 | +$2.3 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? | Yes | 15.08 | $0.460 | $2.94 | -$4 |
 Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.410 | $1.53 | -$0.53 |
 Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 4.54 | $0.270 | $1.45 | +$0.23 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 10 | $0.110 | $1.15 | +$0.05 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026? | Yes | 15 | $0.177 | $0.98 | -$1.67 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? | Yes | 3.04 | $0.490 | $0.52 | -$0.97 |
 Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | Yes | 2.14 | $0.299 | $0.45 | -$0.19 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? | Yes | 4.42 | $0.620 | $0.44 | -$2.3 |
 Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | 2.11 | $0.167 | $0.44 | +$0.09 |
 Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.100 | $0.28 | -$0.23 |
 Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.65 | $0.340 | $0.22 | -$1.02 |
 Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B? | Yes | 4 | $0.279 | $0.18 | -$0.94 |
| Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | Yes | 2.44 | $0.199 | $0.14 | -$0.34 |
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.69 | $0.133 | $0.12 | +$0.03 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 1.75 | $0.388 | $0.11 | -$0.57 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? | Yes | 0.76 | $0.370 | $0.09 | -$0.19 |
 Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? | Yes | 1.3 | $0.140 | $0.09 | -$0.09 |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B? | Yes | 1.67 | $0.265 | $0.05 | -$0.39 |
 Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.61 | $0.009 | $0 | -$0.01 |
| sell |
| 25 |
| $0.130 |
| $3.25 |
| Aug 5, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.130 | $3.25 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.130 | $3.25 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.130 | $3.25 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.240 | $6 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.250 | $6.25 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | sell | 16.45 | $0.041 | $0.67 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.041 | $1.03 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.110 | $0.55 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.090 | $0.45 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.31 | $0.060 | $0.56 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.140 | $0.7 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Yes | sell | 8.41 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.130 | $0.65 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.070 | $0.35 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.004 | $0.1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.004 | $0.1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.150 | $2.25 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.003 | $0.06 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.301 | $1.51 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.011 | $0.11 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.011 | $0.27 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 5.57 | $0.014 | $0.08 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 10.41 | $0.027 | $0.28 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20.29 | $0.008 | $0.16 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.008 | $0.2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.022 | $0.33 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.008 | $0.2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.022 | $0.55 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.008 | $0.2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.013 | $0.33 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 9.59 | $0.031 | $0.3 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.003 | $0.02 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.010 | $0.06 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?Yes | sell | 0.32 | $0.016 | $0.01 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?Yes | sell | 15.12 | $0.065 | $0.98 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.042 | $0.84 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 16.46 | $0.003 | $0.05 | Jun 1, 2026 |