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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 31.34K | $0.367 | $17.39K | +$5.89K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?No | buy | 4.04K | $0.840 | $3.39K | 29d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 20.54K |
| $0.429 |
| $10.99K |
| +$2.18K |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 4.5K | $0.580 | $3.17K | +$562.5 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1K | $0.970 | $995.5 | +$26 |
 Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 887.04 | $0.903 | $852.45 | +$51.75 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 74.89K | $0.013 | $561.68 | -$447.79 |
 Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 533.1 | $0.926 | $512.58 | +$18.75 |
 Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 551.88 | $0.886 | $510.49 | +$21.4 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 592.85 | $0.305 | $506.88 | +$325.96 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 500 | $0.990 | $499.25 | +$4.25 |
 Ramp IPO before 2027? | No | 499.4 | $0.819 | $451.96 | +$43.05 |
 Vanta IPO before 2027? | No | 453.64 | $0.842 | $424.15 | +$42.28 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat? | Yes | 420 | $0.920 | $405.09 | +$18.69 |
 Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? | No | 413.53 | $0.909 | $400.92 | +$24.86 |
 Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? | No | 399 | $0.756 | $394.01 | +$92.47 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2.91K | $0.145 | $392.87 | -$29.85 |
 Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 402.52 | $0.908 | $386.41 | +$20.98 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat? | Yes | 410.66 | $0.831 | $383.97 | +$42.55 |
 Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? | No | 400.99 | $0.838 | $378.94 | +$43.03 |
 Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title? | Yes | 500 | $0.210 | $378.5 | +$273.5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | No | 395.66 | $0.855 | $371.92 | +$33.64 |
 Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | No | 357.83 | $0.900 | $342.26 | +$20.22 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 349.09 | $0.880 | $329.89 | +$22.68 |
 Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 9.12K | $0.030 | $323.72 | +$51.46 |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | Yes | 1.02K | $0.275 | $321.3 | +$40.7 |
| buy |
| 27.32K |
| $0.014 |
| $382.42 |
| Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 9.84K | $0.216 | $2.13K | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas WingsLas Vegas Aces | buy | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 New York Mets vs. Cincinnati RedsNew York Mets | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-11 House seat?No | sell | 60 | $0.990 | $59.4 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in May?No | buy | 291.34 | $0.480 | $139.84 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% or less in May?No | buy | 8.03 | $0.990 | $7.95 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in May?No | buy | 317.36 | $0.480 | $152.33 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes | buy | 2.52K | $0.140 | $353.17 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes | buy | 3.06K | $0.270 | $827.03 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?No | buy | 200 | $0.610 | $122 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati RedsAtlanta Braves | buy | 4.9K | $0.590 | $2.89K | May 30, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?Yes | sell | 320 | $0.290 | $92.8 | May 24, 2026 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.28K | $0.190 | $432.33 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?No | sell | 4.64K | $0.534 | $2.48K | May 23, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?Yes | buy | 693.66 | $0.360 | $249.72 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 3.73K | $0.048 | $179.11 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes | buy | 237.09 | $0.310 | $73.5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.47K | $0.979 | $1.44K | May 17, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.350 | $387.04 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 2.67K | $0.620 | $1.65K | May 16, 2026 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 1.74K | $0.320 | $556.29 | May 13, 2026 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 347.45 | $0.910 | $316.18 | May 13, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 36.41 | $0.780 | $28.4 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 4.29K | $0.253 | $1.09K | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 1.49K | $0.540 | $806.84 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 4.18K | $0.365 | $1.53K | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 9.64K | $0.230 | $2.22K | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 4.32K | $0.220 | $949.59 | May 12, 2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles DodgersAtlanta Braves | buy | 17.29K | $0.498 | $8.6K | May 9, 2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles DodgersAtlanta Braves | buy | 14.76K | $0.494 | $7.29K | May 9, 2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles DodgersAtlanta Braves | buy | 14K | $0.489 | $6.85K | May 9, 2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers | buy | 65 | $0.527 | $34.26 | May 8, 2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers | buy | 17.02K | $0.529 | $9K | May 8, 2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers | buy | 41.32K | $0.527 | $21.78K | May 8, 2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers | buy | 2.91K | $0.526 | $1.53K | May 8, 2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers | buy | 3.03K | $0.524 | $1.59K | May 8, 2026 |
| Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?Yes | buy | 104.9 | $0.054 | $5.65 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the CA-32 House seat?No | buy | 60 | $0.930 | $55.8 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?No | buy | 100 | $0.959 | $95.9 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?No | buy | 83 | $0.810 | $67.23 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in April?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.850 | $5.67 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in April?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.150 | $7.5 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in April?No | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | May 4, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 7.54K | $0.999 | $7.53K | May 2, 2026 |
 Golden Knights vs. UtahGolden Knights | buy | 135 | $0.730 | $98.55 | May 2, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.22K | $0.498 | $605.14 | May 2, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 185.7 | $0.470 | $87.28 | May 2, 2026 |