Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 19.72K | $0.500 | $18.84K | +$8.98K |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 907.73 | $0.008 | $7 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 3.96K |
| $0.846 |
| $3.73K |
| +$380.49 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5.4K | $0.660 | $2.62K | -$945.7 |
 Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | Yes | 6.79K | $0.699 | $1.49K | -$3.25K |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | 815 | $0.717 | $796.26 | +$211.9 |
 Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | No | 692 | $0.812 | $633.18 | +$71.45 |
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 205.3 | $0.160 | $198.63 | +$165.83 |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.87K | $0.700 | $158.95 | -$1.15K |
 Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 108 | $0.268 | $88.02 | +$59.06 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 738 | $0.250 | $55.35 | -$129.15 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 8.08K | $0.074 | $12.13 | -$585.37 |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 21.75K | $0.015 | $10.87 | -$320.92 |
 Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 10 | $0.890 | $9.38 | +$0.48 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 8.7K | $0.043 | $4.35 | -$373.54 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 900 | $0.270 | $3.15 | -$239.85 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.99K | $0.163 | $2.99 | -$321.18 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.017 | $0.5 | -$16.5 |
| buy |
| 524 |
| $0.004 |
| $2.24 |
| Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 476.24 | $0.004 | $1.9 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.080 | $72 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 845 | $0.100 | $84.5 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.036 | $8.97 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 4.92K | $0.965 | $4.75K | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 556 | $0.964 | $535.98 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.811 | $17.03 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.810 | $24.3 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 128.33 | $0.809 | $103.82 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.808 | $13.74 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 338.62 | $0.807 | $273.27 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.806 | $24.18 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.57K | $0.070 | $109.97 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 116 | $0.810 | $93.96 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 973 | $0.810 | $788.13 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.170 | $67.86 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.58K | $0.800 | $1.26K | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 390.24 | $0.149 | $58.15 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.013 | $3.9 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 306 | $0.860 | $263.16 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.013 | $3.9 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.070 | $140 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.060 | $72 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?Yes | buy | 122 | $0.040 | $4.88 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.02K | $0.039 | $158 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.270 | $270 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 212 | $0.917 | $194.39 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.160 | $47.93 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 220 | $0.008 | $1.74 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.660 | $15.84 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | buy | 292 | $0.660 | $192.72 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.019 | $19 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 3.28K | $0.955 | $3.13K | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.019 | $95 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 841 | $0.960 | $807.36 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 518.5 | $0.959 | $497.24 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.019 | $190 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.019 | $38 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 300 | $0.250 | $75 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | buy | 949.65 | $0.310 | $294.39 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.120 | $360 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.120 | $60 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | buy | 2.19K | $0.850 | $1.86K | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | buy | 87 | $0.840 | $73.08 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | buy | 789 | $0.840 | $662.76 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | buy | 902.93 | $0.840 | $758.46 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.19K | $0.763 | $905.35 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No | buy | 3.5K | $0.340 | $1.19K | Feb 4, 2026 |