Latest trade
Feb 28, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 2:15 AM UTC.
Analytics
Lively-Award has made $35.58K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Feb 28, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 2:15 AM UTC.
$9.74 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 10 markets; 98.0% were buys. They run from Feb 14, 2026 UTC to Feb 28, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 19.72K | $0.500 | $19.1K | +$9.24K |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.840 | $930.12 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-20 02:04 UTC
Polymarket public position response
17 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 02:15 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 02:15 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-20 02:04 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $73.81K and losing ones cost $37.5K across the latest 50 settled positions. 38% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $35.28K on “Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes); the largest loss, $10.68K on “Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of January 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 28 Feb 2026. It has traded 194 markets. Its open positions are worth $26.96K across 17 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 3.96K |
| $0.846 |
| $3.91K |
| +$558.87 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5.4K | $0.660 | $1.86K | -$1.7K |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | 815 | $0.717 | $794.63 | +$210.27 |
 Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | No | 692 | $0.812 | $672.28 | +$110.55 |
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 205.3 | $0.160 | $195.24 | +$162.45 |
 Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | Yes | 6.79K | $0.699 | $162.94 | -$4.58K |
 Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 108 | $0.268 | $99.36 | +$70.4 |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.87K | $0.700 | $84.15 | -$1.22K |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 738 | $0.250 | $40.59 | -$143.91 |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 21.75K | $0.015 | $10.87 | -$320.92 |
 Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 10 | $0.890 | $9.58 | +$0.68 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 8.7K | $0.043 | $4.35 | -$373.54 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 8.08K | $0.074 | $4.04 | -$593.45 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.99K | $0.163 | $2.99 | -$321.18 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 900 | $0.270 | $2.25 | -$240.75 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.017 | $0.5 | -$16.5 |
| buy |
| 8.19 |
| $0.840 |
| $6.88 |
| Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.840 | $7.56 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.840 | $6.72 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.840 | $10.08 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.840 | $15.12 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 356.25 | $0.840 | $299.25 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 356.25 | $0.840 | $299.25 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 24.92 | $0.840 | $20.93 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.840 | $210 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.74K | $0.840 | $1.46K | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.85K | $0.840 | $1.55K | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.840 | $15.12 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.840 | $25.2 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.840 | $21 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 159.56 | $0.840 | $134.03 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.840 | $25.2 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.88K | $0.840 | $1.58K | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.840 | $21 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.840 | $15.12 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.2 | $0.840 | $9.41 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.66 | $0.840 | $8.11 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.93 | $0.840 | $4.14 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.840 | $26.25 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.023 | $11.5 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.012 | $6 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.013 | $6.5 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 907.73 | $0.008 | $7 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 524 | $0.004 | $2.24 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 476.24 | $0.004 | $1.9 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.080 | $72 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 845 | $0.100 | $84.5 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.036 | $8.97 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 4.92K | $0.965 | $4.75K | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 556 | $0.964 | $535.98 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.98 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 0.53 | $0.070 | $0.04 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 0.53 | $0.070 | $0.04 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 0.53 | $0.070 | $0.04 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 0.53 | $0.070 | $0.04 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 0.54 | $0.070 | $0.04 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 0.54 | $0.070 | $0.04 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 0.54 | $0.070 | $0.04 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 0.54 | $0.070 | $0.04 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 0.54 | $0.070 | $0.04 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 0.54 | $0.070 | $0.04 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 0.54 | $0.070 | $0.04 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 0.54 | $0.070 | $0.04 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.811 | $17.03 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.