Analytics
Yes is at 8%, down 51 points from 59% when the market opened on 28 Dec 2025.
Across the 271 daily closes on record from 28 Dec 2025 to 25 Oct 2026 (31 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 90.5% on 1 Jan 2026 and the lowest 6.5% on 4 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 7.5%; a month before, 18.5%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 85.5% on 30 Dec 2025.
$35.37K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $339.64, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $3.53K bought Yes and $3.84K bought No.
The largest Yes position is yeahyeahsure with 1.8K shares; the largest No position is 165198989 with 1.2K. Ten wallets hold 69.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 1:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 271 points, 28 Dec 2025 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Dec 2025 | 59.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 8.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| yeahyeahsure | Yes | 1.77K |
| 165198989 | No | 1.23K |
| bozotys | No | 631.5 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Perena (https://x.com/perena) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Perena, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-perena-launch-a-token-by
| echo021301 |
| No |
| 530.93 |
| AJSV | Yes | 473.03 |
| ggbs | Yes | 435.07 |
| PrivateEquityy | No | 373.68 |
| 1999ABC9 | No | 336.05 |
| probability1 | Yes | 314.96 |
| Hyperlong | No | 277.56 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
