probability1 is down $5.6K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-10 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 314.96 | $0.668 | $25.2 | -$185.26 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-10 22:24 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 10:13 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 10:13 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-10 22:24 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $17.85K and losing ones cost $270.38 across the latest 50 settled positions. 96% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $5.45K on “Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?” (Yes); the largest loss, $220.08 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET” (Up).
It has traded 79 markets. Its open positions are worth $25.2 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.