Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 48% on 24 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 72 daily closes on record from 24 Jan 2026 to 28 Apr 2026 (23 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 48% on 24 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 8% on 25 Jan 2026. $485.03K traded over the market's life.
140 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 72 points, 24 Jan 2026 – 28 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | 48.0% |
| 28 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 85.76K |
| Productive-Temper | Yes | 28.83K |
| Torn-Band | Yes | 8.22K |
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for April is scheduled to be released on April 28, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bank-of-japan-decision-in-april
| Yes |
| 6.43K |
| Outgoing-Accounting | Yes | 6K |
| Indigo Tide 2AEA | Yes | 5.55K |
| Dazzling-Studio | Yes | 5.05K |
| haruk098 | Yes | 4.82K |
| Digital-Raccoon | Yes | 3.98K |
| user0123 | Yes | 3.27K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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