Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 65% on 20 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 81% on 25 Feb 2026 and the low 0.1% on 30 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 69 points up, to 72.9% on 21 Feb 2026. $10.37M traded over the market's life.
705 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 1:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 195 points, 20 Sep 2025 – 1 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2025 | 65.0% |
| 1 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cosmic Comet 31FC | Yes | 4.62M |
| Sky365Go | Yes | 218.31K |
| wan123 | Yes | 124.04K |
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-visit-china-by
| Yes |
| 100K |
| Azure Atlas 5EA1 | Yes | 55K |
| Rusty-Spike | Yes | 50K |
| Alumer | Yes | 32.48K |
| Indelible-Grub | Yes | 29.7K |
| alimarwan | Yes | 28.92K |
| Faraway-Camper | Yes | 24.49K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
