Analytics
Lively-Award has made $35.58K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 19.72K | $0.500 | $19.1K | +$9.24K |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-20 02:04 UTC
Polymarket public position response
17 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 07:20 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-27 07:20 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-20 02:04 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $73.81K and losing ones cost $37.5K across the latest 50 settled positions. 38% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $35.28K on “Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes); the largest loss, $10.68K on “Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of January 2026?” (Yes).
It has traded 194 markets. Its open positions are worth $26.9K across 17 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 3.96K |
| $0.846 |
| $3.9K |
| +$548.96 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5.4K | $0.660 | $1.81K | -$1.76K |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | 815 | $0.717 | $794.63 | +$210.27 |
 Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | No | 692 | $0.812 | $672.28 | +$110.55 |
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 205.3 | $0.160 | $195.04 | +$162.24 |
 Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | Yes | 6.79K | $0.699 | $162.94 | -$4.58K |
 Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 108 | $0.268 | $99.36 | +$70.4 |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.87K | $0.700 | $84.15 | -$1.22K |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 738 | $0.250 | $40.59 | -$143.91 |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 21.75K | $0.015 | $10.87 | -$320.92 |
 Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 10 | $0.890 | $9.58 | +$0.68 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 8.7K | $0.043 | $8.7 | -$369.19 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 8.08K | $0.074 | $4.04 | -$593.45 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.99K | $0.163 | $2.99 | -$321.18 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 900 | $0.270 | $2.25 | -$240.75 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.017 | $1 | -$16 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
