Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 7.72 | $0.627 | $5.48 | +$0.64 |
 3Jane FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.170 | $0.85 | 4d ago |
|
| No |
| 12.28 |
| $0.407 |
| $5.34 |
| +$0.34 |
 Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.87 | $0.723 | $5.05 | +$0.08 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 265.79 | $0.019 | $4.92 | -$0.06 |
 Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31? | Yes | 5.98 | $0.835 | $4.81 | -$0.18 |
 Tabi FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 5 | $0.580 | $4.66 | +$1.76 |
 Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch? | Yes | 6.73 | $0.741 | $4.41 | -$0.58 |
 Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 17.85 | $0.254 | $4.28 | -$0.25 |
 Ebola pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 134.7 | $0.037 | $4.11 | -$0.86 |
 Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31? | Yes | 46.08 | $0.108 | $3.92 | -$1.08 |
 Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | Yes | 157.01 | $0.020 | $3.69 | +$0.48 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | No | 4.74 | $0.422 | $3.62 | +$1.62 |
 Will EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026? | Yes | 53.4 | $0.068 | $3.34 | -$0.29 |
 Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? | No | 4.6 | $0.492 | $3.34 | +$1.07 |
 Valantis FDV above $150M one day after launch? | No | 3.82 | $0.469 | $3.15 | +$1.36 |
 Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5 | Under | 12.1 | $0.100 | $3.15 | +$1.94 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? | Yes | 124.59 | $0.029 | $3.11 | -$0.55 |
 QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 5.13 | $0.446 | $3.1 | +$0.81 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 45.3 | $0.050 | $2.94 | +$0.68 |
 Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.4 | $0.394 | $2.91 | -$1.59 |
 Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? | No | 4.86 | $0.536 | $2.7 | +$0.09 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 85.39 | $0.032 | $2.69 | -$0.04 |
 Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | Yes | 4.07 | $0.332 | $2.69 | +$1.33 |
 Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 266.01 | $0.009 | $2.66 | +$0.29 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 3.27 | $0.603 | $2.5 | +$0.53 |
| buy |
| 13.3 |
| $0.360 |
| $4.79 |
| 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.1 | $0.280 | $4.51 | 5d ago |
 Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31?Yes | sell | 14.5 | $0.003 | $0.04 | 21d ago |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 14.9 | $0.016 | $0.24 | 22d ago |
 Will Junior Caminero hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?Yes | sell | 9.62 | $0.162 | $1.56 | 24d ago |
| Will Junior Caminero hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?Yes | sell | 9.7 | $0.162 | $1.57 | 24d ago |
 Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 27.7 | $0.045 | $1.25 | 25d ago |
 UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Yes | sell | 10.7 | $0.047 | $0.5 | 25d ago |
| UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Yes | sell | 37.8 | $0.047 | $1.78 | 25d ago |
| Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 9.08 | $0.420 | $3.81 | 25d ago |
 Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.36 | $0.014 | $0.01 | 25d ago |
| Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5.32 | $0.014 | $0.07 | 25d ago |
| Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5.32 | $0.014 | $0.07 | 25d ago |
 Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | sell | 18.5 | $0.038 | $0.7 | 26d ago |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 6.82 | $0.080 | $0.55 | 26d ago |
 Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central titleNo | sell | 10.2 | $0.360 | $3.67 | 26d ago |
 Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.68 | $0.025 | $0.09 | 26d ago |
| Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Yes | sell | 6.32 | $0.025 | $0.16 | 26d ago |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.77 | $0.025 | $0.02 | 26d ago |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?Yes | sell | 9.1 | $0.025 | $0.23 | 26d ago |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?Yes | sell | 9.1 | $0.025 | $0.23 | 26d ago |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?Yes | sell | 9.1 | $0.025 | $0.23 | 26d ago |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?Yes | sell | 9.1 | $0.025 | $0.23 | 26d ago |
 Will Partido Socialista Brasileiro (PSB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?Yes | sell | 96 | $0.001 | $0.1 | 26d ago |
 Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | sell | 6.8 | $0.070 | $0.48 | 26d ago |
 Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20.7 | $0.120 | $2.48 | 27d ago |
| Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 9.06 | $0.016 | $0.14 | 27d ago |
| Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 8.24 | $0.016 | $0.13 | 27d ago |
| Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 8.96 | $0.016 | $0.14 | 27d ago |
| Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5.24 | $0.016 | $0.08 | 27d ago |
 Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 AL West title?Yes | sell | 10.5 | $0.310 | $3.26 | 27d ago |
 Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.172 | $2.24 | 27d ago |
| Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?Yes | sell | 6.84 | $0.172 | $1.18 | 27d ago |
 Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.92 | $0.025 | $0.25 | 28d ago |
 Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31?Yes | sell | 134 | $0.003 | $0.4 | 28d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 33.2 | $0.016 | $0.53 | 28d ago |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 6.48 | $0.005 | $0.03 | 28d ago |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 5.6 | $0.005 | $0.03 | 28d ago |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 6.58 | $0.005 | $0.03 | 28d ago |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 7.74 | $0.005 | $0.04 | 28d ago |
| Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.003 | $0.12 | 28d ago |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.023 | $0.67 | 28d ago |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.025 | $0.13 | 28d ago |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.024 | $0.12 | 29d ago |
| Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 5.46 | $0.440 | $2.4 | 29d ago |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | sell | 23.6 | $0.110 | $2.6 | 29d ago |
 Relay FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 12.4 | $0.084 | $1.04 | 29d ago |
| Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.370 | $4.07 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 32.5 | $0.025 | $0.81 | Aug 10, 2026 |