Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22? | Yes | 10 | $0.020 | $8.6 | +$8.4 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?No | sell | 0.49 | $0.930 | $0.46 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 4 |
| $0.067 |
| $0.9 |
| +$0.63 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the WI-04 House seat? | No | 15.5 | $0.050 | $0.6 | -$0.17 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 1.61 | $0.360 | $0.31 | -$0.27 |
 Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 40 | $0.031 | $0.3 | -$0.95 |
 Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? | Yes | 1.05 | $0.143 | $0.27 | +$0.12 |
 Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1800.00 and 1899.99 at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 3.72 | $0.167 | $0.26 | -$0.36 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 4 | $0.067 | $0.22 | -$0.05 |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? | Yes | 0.25 | $0.143 | $0.2 | +$0.17 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 2000.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 4.99 | $0.167 | $0.19 | -$0.64 |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 20 | $0.031 | $0.17 | -$0.46 |
 Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title? | No | 0.21 | $0.950 | $0.15 | -$0.04 |
 Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.167 | $0.1 | -$0.62 |
| Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title? | Yes | 0.11 | $0.167 | $0.08 | +$0.06 |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 19.08 | $0.077 | $0.07 | -$1.4 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 14 | $0.067 | $0.06 | -$0.87 |
| Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? | Yes | 1.05 | $0.143 | $0.06 | -$0.09 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 39.96 | $0.077 | $0.06 | -$3.01 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 20 | $0.031 | $0.05 | -$0.58 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat? | No | 0.28 | $0.210 | $0.05 | -$0.01 |
 Will Nick Kurtz win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award? | Yes | 9 | $0.024 | $0.05 | -$0.17 |
 Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 20 | $0.031 | $0.03 | -$0.6 |
 Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 20 | $0.031 | $0.03 | -$0.6 |
 Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 20 | $0.031 | $0.03 | -$0.6 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 19.95 | $0.077 | $0.03 | -$1.5 |
| sell |
| 4.99 |
| $0.100 |
| $0.5 |
| Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-05 House seat?No | sell | 5 | $0.100 | $0.5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 3.12 | $0.180 | $0.56 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?No | sell | 0.74 | $0.800 | $0.59 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.050 | $0.5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?No | sell | 5 | $0.139 | $0.7 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.130 | $0.65 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.280 | $0.78 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.073 | $0.73 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 8.19 | $0.100 | $0.82 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?Yes | sell | 2.54 | $0.280 | $0.71 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.540 | $0.78 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?No | sell | 5 | $0.150 | $0.75 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?No | sell | 5 | $0.160 | $0.8 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Chris Oladokun start Week 1 for the Chiefs in 2026?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.989 | $1.02 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-09 House seat?No | sell | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?No | sell | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?No | sell | 4.65 | $0.230 | $1.07 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?Yes | sell | 5.5 | $0.195 | $1.07 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat?No | sell | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers?Yes | sell | 5.5 | $0.221 | $1.22 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?No | sell | 1.54 | $0.917 | $1.41 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.331 | $1.32 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat?No | sell | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Denver Broncos win the 2026 AFC West?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?No | sell | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 AL Central title?Yes | sell | 10.1 | $0.160 | $1.62 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?No | sell | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?No | sell | 2.22 | $0.995 | $2.21 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NV-03 House seat?No | sell | 15.35 | $0.150 | $2.3 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Yes | sell | 3.32 | $0.740 | $2.46 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 2.6 | $0.999 | $2.6 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?No | sell | 4 | $0.850 | $3.4 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?No | sell | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?No | sell | 5 | $0.756 | $3.78 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | sell | 7.18 | $0.720 | $5.17 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.330 | $4.62 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.979 | $5.87 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 8.23 | $0.880 | $7.24 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 12.78 | $0.570 | $7.28 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 9.91 | $0.853 | $8.45 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?No | sell | 29.78 | $0.340 | $10.13 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the April Meeting?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 7 | $0.840 | $5.88 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Databricks’ market cap be $250B or greater at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 6.12 | $0.970 | $5.94 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 14.19 | $0.631 | $8.95 | Mar 28, 2026 |