Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 60 | $0.690 | $56.1 | +$14.7 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 43.96 |
| $0.910 |
| $43.03 |
| +$3.03 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 90.85 | $0.110 | $16.81 | +$6.81 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 13.85 | $0.650 | $9.35 | +$0.35 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 90.91 | $0.110 | $6.82 | -$3.18 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.140 | $1.29 | -$0.71 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 21.43 | $0.140 | $1.25 | -$1.75 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 15.38 | $0.130 | $1.15 | -$0.85 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 76.92 | $0.026 | $0.92 | -$1.08 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 90.91 | $0.011 | $0.32 | -$0.68 |
 Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.026 | $0.17 | -$0.83 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.068 | $0.13 | -$1.87 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.012 | $0.12 | -$0.88 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.060 | $0.08 | -$2.93 |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.007 | $0.07 | -$0.93 |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 125 | $0.008 | $0.06 | -$0.94 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 117.65 | $0.017 | $0.06 | -$1.94 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.130 | $0.06 | -$4.94 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 103.45 | $0.029 | $0.05 | -$2.95 |
| buy |
| 8.82 |
| $0.340 |
| $3 |
| Jun 21, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerFURIA | sell | 20.55 | $0.470 | $9.66 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 WinnerTeam Falcons | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerFURIA | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsFURIA | buy | 50 | $0.290 | $14.5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over | buy | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.026 | $2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.068 | $2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 90.85 | $0.110 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons | sell | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under | buy | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons | buy | 10 | $0.360 | $3.6 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.940 | $9.39 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.430 | $3.07 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.560 | $4 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.05 | $0.910 | $0.96 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 49.38 | $0.998 | $49.28 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.036 | $2 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.008 | $2 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 4.62 | $0.650 | $3 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Yes | buy | 310.82 | $0.006 | $2 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | buy | 40 | $0.029 | $1.16 | May 14, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 13.85 | $0.650 | $9 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.985 | $29.55 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.350 | $20 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 49.38 | $0.810 | $40 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.140 | $7 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |