Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 24 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 260 daily closes on record from 24 Sep 2025 to 1 Jul 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 24 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 26 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 29.5% on 25 Sep 2025. $671.86K traded over the market's life.
148 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 260 points, 24 Sep 2025 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2025 | 50.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DKcoin | Yes | 5.75K |
| Defqon1 | Yes | 5.07K |
| Kooky-Entrepreneur | Yes | 1K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12, 2025, and June 30, 2026, PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ukraine-election-held-in-2025
| FreeCityIndividual | Yes | 690.59 |
| TheIronGiant | Yes | 591.04 |
| megabob6969 | Yes | 547.64 |
| ponimayu | Yes | 405.13 |
| puffiercranny64 | Yes | 363.64 |
| Trickstar2nv | Yes | 303.14 |
| Hazya | Yes | 247.13 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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