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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? | Yes | 1K | $0.001 | $14.5 | +$13.5 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | 6d ago |
 |
| No |
| 3.45 |
| $0.870 |
| $3.32 |
| +$0.32 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 3.32 | $0.905 | $3.14 | +$0.13 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2.37 | +$0.37 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 2.69 | $0.827 | $2.33 | +$0.1 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 2.29 | $0.934 | $2.14 | +$0 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 2.23 | $0.923 | $2.09 | +$0.04 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.11 | $0.940 | $2.06 | +$0.08 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.18 | $0.923 | $2.04 | +$0.03 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? | No | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
 NATO article 5 before 2027? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 1.18 | $0.865 | $1.09 | +$0.07 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 14.33 | $0.070 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 1.06 | $0.964 | $1.03 | +$0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 2K | $0.001 | $1 | -$1 |
 Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 2K | $0.001 | $1 | -$1 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4.09 | $0.249 | $0.98 | -$0.04 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 4.31 | $0.234 | $0.87 | -$0.14 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.33 | $0.300 | $0.75 | -$0.25 |
 Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 1K | $0.001 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1K | $0.001 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
| buy |
| 1.18 |
| $0.850 |
| $1 |
| 6d ago |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | 28d ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.24 | $0.160 | $1 | 28d ago |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | 28d ago |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.952 | $0.99 | 28d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.038 | $0.95 | 28d ago |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.21 | $0.819 | $0.99 | 28d ago |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | 28d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.820 | $0.98 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.04 | $0.480 | $0.98 | 28d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.810 | $0.98 | 28d ago |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.959 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 4.6 | $0.216 | $0.99 | 28d ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 4.61 | $0.217 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.060 | $0.86 | 28d ago |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 4.6 | $0.216 | $0.99 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.060 | $0.86 | 28d ago |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.821 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.811 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 4.61 | $0.217 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.27 | $0.234 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | 28d ago |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | sell | 1.21 | $0.800 | $0.97 | 28d ago |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.910 | $0.98 | 28d ago |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.21 | $0.820 | $0.99 | 28d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | 28d ago |
 Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.870 | $0.97 | 28d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.69 | $0.580 | $0.98 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.04 | $0.480 | $0.98 | 28d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.810 | $0.98 | 28d ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 4.6 | $0.216 | $0.99 | 28d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.820 | $0.98 | 28d ago |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.821 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.812 | $1 | 28d ago |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 18.86 | $0.052 | $0.98 | 28d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 4.27 | $0.233 | $0.99 | 28d ago |