Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 100 | $0.968 | $96.95 | +$0.15 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.731 | $14.62 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 100.01 |
| $0.820 |
| $88.51 |
| +$6.55 |
 Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? | No | 80 | $0.982 | $79.04 | +$0.46 |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026? | No | 80 | $0.924 | $76.88 | +$2.96 |
 Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 70.25 | $0.958 | $69.83 | +$2.54 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 69.99 | $0.799 | $64.74 | +$8.82 |
 Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 60 | $0.996 | $59.97 | +$0.18 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 60 | $0.867 | $59.01 | +$7.01 |
 Celonis IPO before 2027? | No | 60 | $0.843 | $57 | +$6.4 |
 Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 60 | $0.514 | $56.67 | +$25.8 |
 Will the Republican Party win the AL-06 House seat? | Yes | 60 | $0.927 | $56.4 | +$0.8 |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 60 | $0.972 | $55.8 | -$2.53 |
 Rippling IPO before 2027? | No | 60 | $0.877 | $54.9 | +$2.3 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 55.55 | $0.811 | $54.86 | +$9.81 |
 Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? | No | 54.26 | $0.924 | $53.88 | +$3.73 |
 Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 52.7 | $0.971 | $51.73 | +$0.55 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | Yes | 66 | $0.542 | $49.83 | +$14.03 |
 Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 50 | $0.718 | $46.4 | +$10.48 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 60.01 | $0.688 | $45.91 | +$4.62 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 50.75 | $0.883 | $44.91 | +$0.11 |
 Discord IPO before 2027? | No | 49.95 | $0.279 | $42.68 | +$28.76 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.066 | $42.35 | +$35.78 |
 Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 40 | $0.998 | $39.98 | +$0.06 |
 Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 40 | $0.903 | $39.98 | +$3.85 |
 Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 40 | $0.994 | $39.98 | +$0.22 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.780 |
| $15.6 |
| Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | buy | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No | buy | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.440 | $4.4 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on March 29?No | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?No | buy | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No | buy | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on March 29?No | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?No | buy | 20 | $0.951 | $19.02 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 29?No | buy | 19.74 | $0.200 | $3.95 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 29?No | buy | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by March 31?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.970 | $9.71 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | buy | 20 | $0.502 | $10.04 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?No | buy | 20 | $0.780 | $15.59 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on March 29?No | buy | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 29?No | buy | 19.72 | $0.210 | $4.14 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No | buy | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.971 | $19.42 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No | buy | 20 | $0.956 | $19.12 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No | buy | 20 | $0.958 | $19.16 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?No | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No | buy | 20 | $0.960 | $19.2 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 8.27 | $0.948 | $7.84 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.997 | $19.94 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Remote IPO before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Remote IPO before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.787 | $15.75 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | sell | 16.2 | $0.968 | $15.68 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Remote IPO before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | sell | 20 | $0.968 | $19.36 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 20 | $0.987 | $19.74 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | sell | 14.51 | $0.939 | $13.62 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | sell | 8.87 | $0.970 | $8.6 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 7.88 | $0.883 | $6.96 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.899 | $17.98 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | sell | 20 | $0.939 | $18.78 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | buy | 20 | $0.975 | $19.5 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.970 | $19.4 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.899 | $17.98 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 12.7 | $0.054 | $0.69 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 11.56 | $0.914 | $10.57 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.488 | $2.44 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.489 | $2.45 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.489 | $2.45 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.489 | $2.45 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.488 | $9.77 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.158 | $0.79 | Mar 27, 2026 |