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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | No | 68.84 | $0.822 | $68.08 | +$11.49 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 12.16 | $0.918 | $11.16 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 60 |
| $0.993 |
| $59.91 |
| +$0.33 |
 Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B? | No | 102.63 | $0.729 | $59.53 | -$15.25 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December? | No | 39.99 | $0.886 | $35.99 | +$0.55 |
 Will Sam Surridge win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | No | 33.33 | $0.858 | $32.98 | +$4.4 |
 Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day? | No | 31.02 | $0.965 | $30.32 | +$0.38 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,000-$6,500 in December? | No | 30.41 | $0.887 | $28.28 | +$1.32 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | No | 38.17 | $0.640 | $24.62 | +$0.19 |
 Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | No | 19 | $0.940 | $16.96 | -$0.9 |
 Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | No | 29.47 | $0.676 | $15.47 | -$4.47 |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 900B and 1T? | No | 15.58 | $0.720 | $13.55 | +$2.33 |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | No | 29.06 | $0.884 | $13.22 | -$12.48 |
 Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027? | No | 30 | $0.610 | $11.25 | -$7.05 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 174.14 | $0.250 | $7.84 | -$35.7 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? | No | 20 | $0.580 | $7.2 | -$4.4 |
 Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 7 | $0.998 | $7 | +$0.01 |
 Will Joaquin Buckley be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | No | 6.69 | $0.954 | $6.69 | +$0.3 |
| Will Merab Dvalishvili be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | No | 9.99 | $0.842 | $6.04 | -$2.36 |
 Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 6 | $0.860 | $5.73 | +$0.57 |
| Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 6 | $0.860 | $5.55 | +$0.39 |
 Will Fuse launch a token by June 30, 2027? | No | 9.14 | $0.510 | $4.98 | +$0.32 |
 Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 4.98 | $0.961 | $4.97 | +$0.19 |
 Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 4.78 | $0.915 | $4.78 | +$0.4 |
 Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Charles Oliveira next? | No | 5 | $0.733 | $4.76 | +$1.1 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | No | 4.72 | $0.828 | $4.68 | +$0.77 |
| sell |
| 1.87 |
| $0.930 |
| $1.74 |
| Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No | sell | 3.29 | $0.860 | $2.83 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 11?No | sell | 3.92 | $0.780 | $3.06 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 11?No | sell | 2.6 | $0.740 | $1.92 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 12?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.700 | $0.71 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 12?Yes | sell | 2.54 | $0.210 | $0.53 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 11?No | sell | 9.6 | $0.630 | $6.05 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.84 | $0.800 | $2.27 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 11?Yes | sell | 1.77 | $0.175 | $0.31 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 11?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.184 | $1.47 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 11?No | sell | 4.44 | $0.760 | $3.37 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 11?Yes | sell | 5.04 | $0.100 | $0.5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 11?No | sell | 35.56 | $0.760 | $27.03 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No | sell | 3.03 | $0.690 | $2.09 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the Waddani Party (Somaliland National Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?No | sell | 3.12 | $0.931 | $2.9 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 11?No | sell | 3.22 | $0.700 | $2.25 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 11?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.851 | $2.83 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | sell | 3.75 | $0.770 | $2.89 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 12?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 11?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.490 | $3.43 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 29°C on July 12?Yes | sell | 12.75 | $0.240 | $3.06 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 11?Yes | sell | 13.48 | $0.330 | $4.45 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 12?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.180 | $5.04 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 11?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.275 | $5.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.796 | $0.93 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No | sell | 1.84 | $0.830 | $1.53 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 11?Yes | sell | 3.14 | $0.240 | $0.75 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 11?No | sell | 3.28 | $0.650 | $2.13 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 11?No | sell | 4.94 | $0.720 | $3.56 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 11?No | sell | 4.99 | $0.890 | $4.44 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 11?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.810 | $4.12 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 12?Yes | sell | 5.69 | $0.270 | $1.54 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 12?Yes | sell | 6.69 | $0.270 | $1.81 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 11?No | sell | 10.94 | $0.850 | $9.3 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 12?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.390 | $5.57 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 12?Yes | sell | 16.59 | $0.250 | $4.15 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 11?No | sell | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 11?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.370 | $4.81 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 11?Yes | sell | 14.92 | $0.120 | $1.79 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 11?Yes | sell | 6.52 | $0.320 | $2.09 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 11?No | sell | 20 | $0.810 | $16.2 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 11?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 11?Yes | sell | 25.26 | $0.840 | $21.22 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C on July 12?No | sell | 10.56 | $0.910 | $9.61 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 29°C on July 12?Yes | sell | 15.66 | $0.170 | $2.66 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 11?Yes | sell | 32.85 | $0.190 | $6.24 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 12?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 12?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 10?No | sell | 3.78 | $0.370 | $1.4 | Jul 10, 2026 |