Analytics
Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 26.5 | $0.209 | $20.27 | +$14.74 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kash Patel out by June 30?No | buy | 3.37 | $0.410 | $1.38 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 18.61 |
| $0.299 |
| $16.09 |
| +$10.52 |
 Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? | No | 6.45 | $0.625 | $5.58 | +$1.55 |
 Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 4.26 | $0.386 | $4.26 | +$2.61 |
 Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? | Yes | 5.72 | $0.310 | $3.49 | +$1.72 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 5.72 | $0.350 | $2.77 | +$0.77 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 45.63 | $0.071 | $2.67 | -$0.56 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 51.53 | $0.068 | $2.58 | -$0.95 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 24.47 | $0.389 | $2.32 | -$7.2 |
 Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 14.44 | $0.090 | $1.8 | +$0.5 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | Yes | 42.76 | $0.065 | $1.6 | -$1.16 |
 Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 573.4 | $0.004 | $0.86 | -$1.58 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.96 | $0.340 | $0.78 | -$3.29 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.71 | $0.540 | $0.5 | -$1.5 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.39 | $0.190 | $0.35 | -$0.86 |
| Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 207.01 | $0.004 | $0.31 | -$0.44 |
| Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 557.64 | $0.003 | $0.28 | -$1.39 |
| Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 259.6 | $0.005 | $0.13 | -$1.17 |
 Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026? | Yes | 1.53 | $0.049 | $0.11 | +$0.03 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 8 | $0.260 | $0.08 | -$2 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 101.17 | $0.013 | $0.05 | -$1.23 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 8.24 | $0.020 | $0.01 | -$0.15 |
 Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 21.76 | $0.099 | $0.01 | -$2.14 |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 0.15 | $0.180 | $0.01 | -$0.02 |
| sell |
| 3.47 |
| $0.682 |
| $2.37 |
| Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will 60 or more of senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?Yes | buy | 7.22 | $0.220 | $1.59 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.560 | $2.04 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.560 | $2.04 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?No | buy | 3.71 | $0.550 | $2.04 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 9.55 | $0.210 | $2.01 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.220 | $2.09 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?No | buy | 8.4 | $0.210 | $1.76 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 0.56 | $0.260 | $0.15 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.048 | $0.43 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 7.15 | $0.320 | $2.29 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.56 | $0.180 | $1.18 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.6 | $0.170 | $1.29 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.88 | $0.350 | $1.36 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.07 | $0.340 | $2.06 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.72 | $0.350 | $2 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.090 | $2.88 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | sell | 37.72 | $0.090 | $3.39 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 10.64 | $0.070 | $0.74 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes | buy | 6.61 | $0.160 | $1.06 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 4.26 | $0.630 | $2.68 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 1.87 | $0.630 | $1.18 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 1.87 | $0.630 | $1.18 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 6.95 | $0.220 | $1.53 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 15.49 | $0.590 | $9.14 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.290 | $0.95 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Yes | sell | 9.52 | $0.230 | $2.19 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.15 | $0.290 | $2.07 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 36.4 | $0.044 | $1.6 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.39 | $0.190 | $1.21 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No | sell | 6.44 | $0.230 | $1.48 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No | sell | 7.73 | $0.230 | $1.78 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 5.37 | $0.170 | $0.91 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 2.13 | $0.160 | $0.34 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | sell | 6.67 | $0.220 | $1.47 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.84 | $0.021 | $0.04 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.27 | $0.010 | $0 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.5 | $0.010 | $0.02 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.99 | $0.011 | $0.01 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 4.34 | $0.460 | $2 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No | sell | 5.72 | $0.519 | $2.97 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | sell | 7.36 | $0.150 | $1.1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.28 | $0.110 | $1.02 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 3.6 | $0.400 | $1.44 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 1.78 | $0.420 | $0.75 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.067 | $1.53 | Apr 14, 2026 |