Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 27.35K | $0.005 | $41.03 | -$91.56 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AfD win less than 14% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.090 | $0.9 | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 8.17K |
| $0.009 |
| $28.58 |
| -$48.79 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 589.95 | $0.025 | $7.08 | -$8.02 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 530 | $0.030 | $2.65 | -$13.29 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 11? | Yes | 15 | $0.070 | $1.95 | +$0.9 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.006 | $1.75 | -$1.25 |
 Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 47 | $0.040 | $1.36 | -$0.52 |
 Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.049 | $1.15 | +$0.17 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13? | Yes | 6 | $0.180 | $1.05 | -$0.03 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | Yes | 25 | $0.041 | $0.89 | -$0.14 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.83 | -$0.17 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 13 | $0.165 | $0.76 | -$1.38 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | Yes | 11.18 | $0.170 | $0.73 | -$1.17 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 6 | $0.170 | $0.69 | -$0.33 |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.51 | -$0.5 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | Yes | 1K | $0.005 | $0.5 | -$4.5 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | Yes | 999.99 | $0.012 | $0.5 | -$11.5 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $0.38 | -$0.63 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $0.28 | -$0.72 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $0.26 | -$0.74 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | Yes | 10 | $0.110 | $0.14 | -$0.97 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 66.67 | $0.015 | $0.1 | -$0.9 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 142.41 | $0.007 | $0.07 | -$0.93 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 43.48 | $0.023 | $0.07 | -$0.93 |
| buy |
| 15 |
| $0.070 |
| $1.05 |
| 3d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 8?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.024 | $1.01 | 3d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 9?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.049 | $1.03 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win less than 14% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 3d ago |
 Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.025 | $0.25 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.007 | $1.5 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.065 | $1.04 | 3d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.150 | $1.05 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win fewer than 34 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 7?No | buy | 15 | $0.070 | $1.05 | 4d ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 6?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.290 | $2.03 | 4d ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 6?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.017 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 6?No | buy | 56 | $0.018 | $1.01 | 4d ago |
 Will the price of Solana be above $110 on September 7?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | 4d ago |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 1-7?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | 4d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.150 | $1.05 | 4d ago |
| Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.049 | $0.98 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.67K | $0.003 | $29 | 19d ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 20?No | buy | 29.79 | $0.038 | $1.13 | 21d ago |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.038 | $1.18 | 21d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.003 | $3.38 | 21d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.004 | $20 | 21d ago |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.025 | $0.25 | 25d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.5K | $0.005 | $42.5 | 26d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.030 | $1.35 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 64.4 | $0.024 | $1.55 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.010 | $0.15 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | buy | 8.4 | $0.005 | $0.04 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.013 | $13.78 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 30?Yes | buy | 19.75 | $0.092 | $1.82 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 29?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.019 | $0.87 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.216 | $10.8 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be at least 40.0 on July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.140 | $0.84 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last at least 15 seconds by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.110 | $1.21 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.058 | $1.04 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.007 | $1.05 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.22 | $0.036 | $0.12 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 22?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 23?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.070 | $0.98 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.012 | $1.02 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 22?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.017 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |