Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 77.78 | $0.411 | $37.72 | +$5.72 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession by end of 2027?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | 9d ago |
 |
| No |
| 49.51 |
| $0.707 |
| $26.46 |
| -$8.54 |
 Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? | Yes | 161.92 | $0.113 | $7.69 | -$10.66 |
| US recession by end of 2027? | Yes | 15.15 | $0.330 | $4.77 | -$0.23 |
 Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | Yes | 58.86 | $0.034 | $1.35 | -$0.65 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 15.38 | $0.130 | $1.15 | -$0.85 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 8 | $0.250 | $1.08 | -$0.92 |
 Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | Yes | 4 | $0.250 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 13.89 | $0.144 | $1.04 | -$0.96 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | 41.51 | $0.205 | $1.04 | -$7.46 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 51.28 | $0.039 | $0.95 | -$1.05 |
 Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 5? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $0.91 | -$0.09 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.160 | $0.81 | -$1.19 |
 Will Elon register any party before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.7 | -$0.3 |
 Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 7.33 | $0.273 | $0.65 | -$1.35 |
 Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.01K | $0.082 | $0.51 | -$82.69 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2.27 | $0.440 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 12.71 | $0.157 | $0.48 | -$1.52 |
 Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%? | Yes | 35.09 | $0.057 | $0.37 | -$1.63 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? | Yes | 11.36 | $0.088 | $0.35 | -$0.65 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 23.43 | $0.085 | $0.3 | -$1.7 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 174.68 | $0.023 | $0.26 | -$3.74 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50 | $0.040 | $0.23 | -$1.78 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | Yes | 22.78 | $0.044 | $0.16 | -$0.84 |
 Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 103.3 | $0.029 | $0.15 | -$2.85 |
| buy |
| 17.54 |
| $0.057 |
| $1 |
| 22d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 7.43 | $0.673 | $5 | 22d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.039 | $2 | 22d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 76.12 | $0.962 | $73.23 | 22d ago |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?Yes | buy | 69.29 | $0.029 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026?Yes | sell | 8.69 | $0.380 | $3.3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 42.06 | $0.730 | $30.7 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.330 | $2.36 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Yes | sell | 15.15 | $0.308 | $4.67 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Yes | sell | 6.06 | $0.998 | $6.04 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.165 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 1.99 | $0.502 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 32.79 | $0.061 | $2 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes | buy | 8.08 | $0.247 | $2 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Norway?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 3.11 | $0.644 | $2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.999 | $13.99 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 13.69 | $0.770 | $10.54 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?Yes | sell | 24.39 | $0.045 | $1.09 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 50 | $0.440 | $22 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.420 | $1.26 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.370 | $1.48 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.125 | $2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 22.78 | $0.044 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.87 | $0.127 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.024 | $2 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.036 | $2 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 18.21 | $0.549 | $10 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 7.33 | $0.273 | $2 | Apr 23, 2026 |