Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

techActive

Closes Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Yes

5.5%

94.5%

Yes costs 5.55¢No costs 94.45¢

24h Volume

$1.1K

Total volume

$267.9K

Liquidity

$36.8K

Closes

Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Topic roomBest AI Model

Open positions

The positions Polymarket reports for this market, largest first.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	154.11K	0.0%	$0
Hyperlong	Yes	14.83K	11.3%	$1.61K
eNakeVets	Yes	13.74K	12.0%	$1.62K	Oct 23, 9:22 AM UTC
cowcat	Yes	9.79K	10.7%	$1.01K
Avotoast	Yes	8.6K	5.6%	$481.78	Oct 23, 8:34 PM UTC
Prickly-Eyrie	Yes	8.36K	9.3%	$774.39
crop?	Yes	7.81K	10.3%	$775.35
TheWindKnowsmyName	Yes	5.66K	5.4%	$305.33	Oct 30, 11:28 AM UTC
back-in-whack	Yes	5.03K	6.7%	$327.07	Oct 22, 2:17 PM UTC
bmtr	Yes	4.69K	6.7%	$308.87
Ondra	Yes	4.05K	5.8%	$234.09
dexsheet	Yes	3.5K	5.7%	$200	Oct 28, 11:17 PM UTC
donthackme	Yes	3.25K	3.8%	$125.14	Oct 29, 6:04 AM UTC
Brovadana	Yes	3.24K	9.7%	$312.19	Oct 21, 11:59 PM UTC
aiyosi	Yes	3.24K	6.2%	$200	Oct 26, 8:25 PM UTC
TBill1	Yes	3.06K	5.1%	$156.14
JungPung	Yes	3K	6.1%	$181.97
MineYours	Yes	2.32K	6.2%	$142.96	Oct 27, 2:47 PM UTC
ttttefqesfe	Yes	2.08K	3.8%	$79.99
Misty Harbor 2967	Yes	2K	6.1%	$119.13	Oct 22, 1:10 PM UTC
Swift Ledger 551A	Yes	1.97K	10.8%	$205.77
Zzzz87	Yes	1.89K	19.9%	$364.74
cp01cmt	Yes	1.76K	23.4%	$399.99
Plump-Deadline	Yes	1.45K	9.8%	$137	Oct 19, 5:59 PM UTC
CannabisBoy	Yes	1.4K	6.5%	$91
valentovastan	Yes	1.34K	5.7%	$76.15
Artyre	Yes	1.28K	24.2%	$300
Noted-Divine-Diary	Yes	1.26K	8.2%	$100
Csquaredcapital	Yes	1.26K	11.5%	$139.71
forgotmydinner	Yes	1.24K	3.8%	$47.68	Oct 29, 3:44 AM UTC
Ugcdr56y6t	Yes	1.15K	6.1%	$70	Oct 21, 11:23 AM UTC
G8RQxf3vBMVT	Yes	1.08K	5.3%	$55
dimeees	Yes	1K	5.5%	$55
montrealjazz	Yes	999.67	12.7%	$124.6
MWM	Yes	849.92	12.2%	$100
sawyer2718	Yes	799.99	9.0%	$72
GoodDealBro	Yes	777.14	4.2%	$32.64
Ru386	Yes	772.13	26.7%	$200
TRADER420	Yes	764.4	18.5%	$138.52
9AI9	Yes	730.26	9.9%	$70
Dim-Faucet	Yes	697.53	5.7%	$40	Oct 23, 5:22 PM UTC
AlwaysTimed	Yes	697.02	11.7%	$79.72
fiter	Yes	650.01	5.9%	$38.09	Oct 22, 5:59 PM UTC
LongShot-Louie	Yes	630.01	9.4%	$59.1
ARES69420	Yes	624.55	10.0%	$62.19
SlayerH	Yes	623.68	21.3%	$130.97
Jade Comet 9BB2	Yes	614.57	6.2%	$37.3	Oct 23, 3:52 PM UTC
WhoseHouseRamsHouse	No	553.64	93.8%	$519.19
HerrieDavis	Yes	547.9	7.8%	$42.56
betmandown	Yes	500	10.0%	$49
KalungaHD	Yes	500	22.1%	$110
FieryFox384	Yes	500	6.0%	$30	Oct 28, 12:47 PM UTC
groth	Yes	499.99	5.0%	$25
jpurd17	Yes	490.9	21.0%	$100
Humblebee2	Yes	454.85	9.1%	$40
kokofai	Yes	454.55	11.4%	$50
tja	No	450	87.0%	$391.5
suntori	Yes	448.38	7.3%	$31.55	Oct 27, 11:03 PM UTC
bananabreakfast	Yes	448.13	9.0%	$39.75
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing	Yes	428.57	6.2%	$25.87
Flamboyant-Warming	Yes	418.79	4.3%	$18.15
ammarb	Yes	400	12.0%	$48
jiamaoweilue	Yes	399.99	10.0%	$40
JaRail	Yes	394.83	6.0%	$23.9	Oct 21, 4:18 PM UTC
ghorrock	Yes	386.17	3.9%	$14.99
LornaPredicts	Yes	380.39	3.1%	$11.74
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	357.34	6.7%	$23.72	Oct 28, 5:25 PM UTC
Shocking-Teen	Yes	343.13	15.1%	$50
paprikc	Yes	338.82	6.1%	$20
normieholocaust	Yes	338.09	5.8%	$18.96
Insidious-Multimedia	Yes	313.38	14.3%	$43.31
Wojtek	Yes	300	4.0%	$12
Handsome-Lifetime	Yes	300	4.7%	$14.1
Leclerc04	Yes	294	17.6%	$49.98
rocky42022	No	254.96	94.3%	$240.41
WCGW	Yes	249.53	10.6%	$25.95
Satisfied-Sip-Baker	Yes	247.84	8.4%	$20
Contentious-Dinnerdate	No	235.6	87.8%	$205.8
akum4	No	220.15	81.2%	$177.49
Crimson Pioneer 3AAE	Yes	214	14.5%	$29.96
Flaner	Yes	207.81	6.1%	$12.31
isaaclegend	Yes	201	25.6%	$50
Serpentine-Dialogue	Yes	200.01	12.9%	$24.92
alamedamemola	Yes	200	6.2%	$12.4
kotyashmisha	Yes	200	20.6%	$40
Maitredeceremonie	Yes	193.17	6.2%	$11.84	Oct 26, 10:58 AM UTC
Weepy-Trellis	Yes	191.76	13.0%	$24.17
Mithrandir.	No	180	85.2%	$153.1
Albanian15	Yes	177.37	5.8%	$10.33	Oct 28, 6:06 PM UTC
mandave	Yes	175.44	5.7%	$10	Oct 27, 9:37 AM UTC
Rundown-Flexibility	Yes	173.47	11.0%	$18.48
plygd	Yes	171.59	9.1%	$15
Sarmely	Yes	169.76	5.9%	$10	Oct 28, 6:24 PM UTC
machente	Yes	169.23	6.7%	$11
Tony10	Yes	167.78	6.4%	$10.4
38791873984189	Yes	165.77	6.7%	$11.03
alpheclabs	Yes	165	11.0%	$18.15
PICNICBUNNY	Yes	163.26	6.1%	$10	Oct 24, 8:23 PM UTC
Nervous-Finer	Yes	161.61	6.4%	$10.02
Spirited-Premeditation	Yes	152.17	20.3%	$30
Azure Meteor 6F2F	No	150	50.0%	$75
Azure Meteor 6F2F	Yes	150	50.0%	$75
Primary-Pigpen-Technique	Yes	150	5.9%	$8.85	Oct 29, 2:01 AM UTC
SerDress	Yes	150	13.0%	$19.5
FaucetWiki	Yes	146	4.7%	$6.64
Docta	Yes	144.93	7.1%	$10
PredictionMMayr	Yes	141.32	7.0%	$9.61
Elias.Thornwell	No	141.02	93.6%	$131.74
Reflecting-Cellar	Yes	140.17	18.1%	$24.63
Jade Scout 6E54	Yes	129	21.8%	$27.09
japatrader	Yes	127.85	12.1%	$15
Djibooty	No	125	87.0%	$108.75
Overdue-Safety	No	120.89	89.1%	$107.77
glodi001	Yes	119.08	8.7%	$10
cacros	Yes	118.86	17.4%	$20
e46m3	Yes	118.48	3.8%	$4.56	Oct 28, 6:22 PM UTC
dgp179	Yes	117.41	8.5%	$9.6
Miguel262144	Yes	116	9.7%	$11.28	Oct 21, 7:16 AM UTC
Affectionate-Monger	Yes	109.88	5.9%	$6.44
BraveBaboon	Yes	109.09	11.4%	$12
AmberSprinter	No	104.59	94.4%	$98.74
Gandoron	Yes	104.17	9.9%	$10
nihai	Yes	103	13.0%	$12.93
acal	Yes	100.01	4.0%	$4
VEF7SmxGhr	Yes	100	8.5%	$8.2
TradingBear	Yes	100	16.0%	$16
Light-Constraint-Pita	Yes	100	5.0%	$5
il1	No	99.96	88.6%	$88.44	Oct 26, 6:24 AM UTC
Standard-Dam	Yes	98.4	10.0%	$9.84
Coral Voyager 482E	Yes	96.15	10.8%	$10
qing123	Yes	91	16.5%	$14.56
kokosnasnehu	Yes	90.85	11.4%	$10
mdja	Yes	87.83	5.7%	$5	Oct 22, 8:04 PM UTC
ISTIMETOWIN	Yes	87.72	5.7%	$5	Oct 21, 2:02 AM UTC
Robust-Figure	Yes	84.98	19.0%	$16.15
SafeVaultBlue	No	80	89.0%	$71.2
Gurx	Yes	80	19.0%	$15.2
nklr	Yes	79.37	6.3%	$5	Oct 27, 3:47 PM UTC
holyromanhandicap	Yes	76.92	13.5%	$10
nemonem	Yes	76.92	26.8%	$20
hoshigaki.kisame	Yes	75	18.0%	$13.5
mustbethewater	Yes	75	2.4%	$1.8
shangqian	No	74.58	93.2%	$69.34
Terrence1992	Yes	72	4.8%	$3.31
starleksis	Yes	71.43	7.3%	$5
Wwx	Yes	70.18	4.9%	$3.44
marco-nyc-chef	No	68.15	93.9%	$63.99
Mortenlu	Yes	67.74	9.6%	$6.32
Impeccable-Pentagon	Yes	64.65	6.4%	$4
aliiz	Yes	64	4.3%	$2.71
FunctionSharp	Yes	61.41	4.9%	$3	Oct 20, 9:16 PM UTC
zwaaa	Yes	60	14.3%	$8.6
swattykatty	No	59.21	94.1%	$55.72
cigarettes	No	57.76	92.7%	$53.54
DriftedHarbor	Yes	56.92	5.5%	$3.13
snooracular-snus	Yes	55.45	11.2%	$6
plsnothackme	Yes	54.57	14.5%	$7.64
ballyhooo	Yes	51.59	11.6%	$5.97
doil	Yes	51.21	4.9%	$2.51
BISLION	Yes	50.11	6.1%	$3.06	Oct 24, 12:55 AM UTC
leviteks	Yes	50	6.0%	$3	Oct 28, 4:28 PM UTC
ruxuan	Yes	49.99	10.4%	$5
Wiggly-Yew	Yes	49.18	6.1%	$3	Oct 25, 1:42 PM UTC
YonGlintvena	No	48.6	94.2%	$45.78
Infatuated-Flare-Volume	Yes	48.59	10.2%	$4.78
trullq	Yes	48.54	10.7%	$5
93dada	Yes	47.28	5.3%	$2.5
Indigo Vector E5D1	Yes	46.97	10.5%	$4.76
123987456	Yes	46.11	3.8%	$1.77
KenanEvren	Yes	45.45	22.7%	$10
Ogre-Magi	No	45	88.0%	$39.6
Lunar Tide 1BAC	Yes	43.27	11.4%	$4.76
parameter1	No	42.99	90.1%	$38.64
eccc	Yes	42	11.4%	$4.62
soolmate	Yes	41.55	12.4%	$5
Platon-k	Yes	40	21.3%	$8.4
Expensive-Frock	Yes	40	9.0%	$3.6
9B15	No	39.89	90.0%	$35.9
Humiliating-Venue	Yes	38.76	17.6%	$6.59
Selfish-Inhibition	Yes	38.46	13.5%	$5
marketgravity	Yes	38.46	12.4%	$4.62
kirpikirpikirpi	Yes	33.24	6.4%	$2.06	Oct 19, 5:29 PM UTC
pppnn	No	32.81	91.4%	$29.99
banestow	Yes	30.92	11.3%	$3.38
Misty Beacon 5387	Yes	29.84	6.0%	$1.79
Rapid Sphinx 6950	Yes	29.69	6.7%	$1.93
V4grant	Yes	28.99	7.1%	$2
79fsdfs	Yes	28.78	5.3%	$1.52
RandomWalker3	No	28.74	87.5%	$25
invest-po-melochi	Yes	28.53	7.0%	$1.94
lissartter	No	28.12	90.0%	$25.31
Rawdy	No	28.08	90.3%	$25.11
qiaoqiaodi	Yes	25	6.8%	$1.7	Oct 24, 9:36 AM UTC
aitrader1234	Yes	25	4.5%	$1.08
letsmakemoney-298	Yes	23.81	21.7%	$5
cd30gfu530p0	Yes	23.19	7.2%	$1.6
Bony-Spleen	Yes	22.52	22.9%	$5
cd30gfu530p0	No	22.46	90.3%	$19.99
fort5f	Yes	22.17	23.2%	$5
buynao	Yes	21.66	29.0%	$6.28
elonboi	Yes	20.78	6.1%	$1.23
jsmcy	Yes	20.78	12.4%	$2.5
wwwe1	Yes	20.74	24.8%	$5
Tiny-Combat	No	20	88.0%	$17.6
tanirus	Yes	20	10.4%	$2
Soggy-Repayment	Yes	20	5.6%	$1.12	Oct 28, 10:44 PM UTC
Deerblad	Yes	20	15.5%	$3
cfvfsd99	Yes	20	13.5%	$2.6
Jeffjandla	Yes	19.83	12.4%	$2.38
kuasuo	Yes	19.8	15.5%	$2.97
trader-9b779399	Yes	19.15	6.7%	$1.29
Solar Vector 84E9	Yes	19.12	7.0%	$1.3
robert-mukhametov	No	18.84	89.1%	$16.77
PredictingSpecter	Yes	18.52	27.8%	$5
TRLWeiss	Yes	18.18	5.5%	$1	Oct 29, 10:05 AM UTC
avisso	Yes	17.86	5.6%	$1	Oct 28, 10:00 PM UTC
ChineloWings	Yes	17.54	5.7%	$1	Oct 29, 8:52 PM UTC
kob3r	Yes	17.53	5.9%	$1	Oct 22, 9:22 PM UTC
Kokos-IV-	Yes	17.25	5.8%	$1	Oct 29, 1:00 AM UTC
Gloomy-Seagull	Yes	17.24	5.8%	$1	Oct 29, 5:35 PM UTC
jay9090	Yes	17.24	5.8%	$1	Oct 29, 11:19 PM UTC
WorldStackOverflow	Yes	16.95	5.9%	$1	Oct 21, 3:55 PM UTC
Swift Raven AC33	Yes	16.8	6.2%	$1
fyy6658	Yes	16.67	6.0%	$1	Oct 27, 4:59 PM UTC
Viktor1936	Yes	16.39	6.3%	$1	Oct 20, 1:14 PM UTC
cjx5818	Yes	16.13	6.4%	$1
tassoruas	Yes	16.13	6.4%	$1
ghhhshshs	Yes	15	28.0%	$4.2
Lesivv	Yes	14.99	4.3%	$0.64
wmurillo.eth	Yes	14.93	7.0%	$1
Wobbly-Cold	Yes	14.49	7.1%	$1
random-random123	Yes	14.49	7.1%	$1
chohakune	Yes	13.64	15.2%	$2
boxfrommars	Yes	12.35	8.4%	$1
True-Seizure	Yes	11.36	9.1%	$1
Migueelp	Yes	11.11	9.3%	$1
twilight13	Yes	10.56	19.7%	$2.05
Coral Raven A7C0	Yes	10.1	10.3%	$1
robszm	Yes	10	14.5%	$1.4
babyalgo	Yes	10	2.0%	$0.2
adsfasdf113	Yes	10	5.0%	$0.5
kunsect77	Yes	10	3.8%	$0.38
Tolontolon	Yes	10	10.4%	$1
cheezbu	Yes	10	3.6%	$0.36
imfinewe	Yes	10	7.0%	$0.7
Kronos888	Yes	10	10.4%	$1
aaadda	Yes	10	4.0%	$0.4
GDV82a	Yes	10	10.9%	$1.05
kk8s118es	Yes	10	11.0%	$1.1
Bubbly-Ruckus	Yes	10	10.4%	$1
yes-yes-no	Yes	10	3.8%	$0.38
Glass-Predecessor	Yes	10	10.4%	$1
kkff1	Yes	9.8	10.6%	$1
argetic	No	9.66	94.3%	$9.11	Oct 24, 10:47 PM UTC
Quiet Beacon 7EAB	Yes	9.57	14.8%	$1.37
justcris	Yes	9.09	11.4%	$1
Saitama8	Yes	9.09	11.4%	$1
sfjshfiuhw7174149	Yes	8.33	12.4%	$1
Amosi	No	8.09	92.3%	$7.44
JEndo	No	8	89.8%	$7.12
Onejamdjali	Yes	8	25.8%	$2
r7aivo7q	No	7.88	94.5%	$7.45	Oct 30, 9:31 AM UTC
DimonSmart	Yes	7.69	13.5%	$1
Helpful-Weekender	No	7.38	94.5%	$6.97	Oct 30, 7:00 AM UTC
bguberfain	Yes	7.14	14.5%	$1
Frosty-Acquaintance	Yes	7	5.5%	$0.39
goldisoverrated	No	6.72	89.7%	$6
hermeticus	Yes	6.67	15.5%	$1
fi5h	No	6.3	80.0%	$5
Dstrd	Yes	6	16.0%	$0.96
Surprised-Bugle	No	5.4	92.8%	$4.99
38791873984189	No	5.3	93.2%	$4.94
Coral Signal 8056	No	5.28	94.7%	$5	Oct 29, 12:59 PM UTC
1LC-GROWTH-MIXED-HUGE-FUND	No	5.22	94.5%	$4.93	Oct 28, 6:02 PM UTC
balthazar	Yes	5.2	3.8%	$0.2	Oct 22, 1:05 PM UTC
Slow-Exhibit	Yes	5.01	20.4%	$0.99
rocky42022	Yes	5.01	5.2%	$0.26
Coral Signal 51F6	No	5	87.0%	$4.35
CarlosZapata	Yes	5	20.6%	$1
denso	Yes	5	2.0%	$0.1
Neon Pulse 8836	No	4.99	94.3%	$4.7
Bright Comet B56F	No	4.4	92.0%	$4
Solar Summit 0A64	Yes	4.31	3.8%	$0.17
big-bird1	No	4.2	89.4%	$3.74
Coral Beacon 7E5B	No	3.86	80.0%	$3.08
WarriorH	Yes	3.79	3.8%	$0.15	Oct 20, 1:16 AM UTC
oxb2a309A61ca9eD5DB26e9FDDa3a19fF4aE3a79e0	No	3.67	90.0%	$3.29
Traumatic-Narrative-Spread	No	3.37	89.4%	$3
BikesAreTheBikes	Yes	3.33	3.8%	$0.13
jy-01	No	3.29	90.3%	$2.96
Anon321321	Yes	2.77	3.9%	$0.11
strashnyleytenant	No	2.22	90.3%	$2
isnE4ZgjkP3nxh	No	2.21	90.3%	$1.99
ddd333aaa	Yes	1.54	4.0%	$0.06
LabEma	No	1.39	95.5%	$1.33	Oct 23, 12:10 PM UTC
Onejamdjali	No	1.3	77.7%	$1
trader-c6777f27	Yes	1.28	12.4%	$0.15
Slimy-Coin	No	1.17	92.6%	$1.08
Aged-Veil	No	1.12	89.4%	$1
Welcome2026	No	1.12	89.4%	$1
smm.ls	No	1.09	92.3%	$1
merod	No	1.06	95.9%	$1.02
cornishon2	Yes	1	14.5%	$0.14
pestanimal	Yes	0.98	2.0%	$0.02
monoclith	Yes	0.91	21.0%	$0.19
JordanMooney	Yes	0.88	1.1%	$0.01
Limping-Baggie-Technique	No	0.72	94.5%	$0.68	Oct 28, 5:25 PM UTC
Bigggggggg	Yes	0.69	3.8%	$0.03
planktonXD	Yes	0.6	4.6%	$0.03
Mojito9	Yes	0.48	9.0%	$0.04
Violet Vector B233	Yes	0.46	16.5%	$0.07
LesterDiamond	Yes	0.42	1.9%	$0.01
Ivory Ledger F535	Yes	0.26	12.5%	$0.03
92asda	Yes	0.25	5.3%	$0.01
77sfds	No	0.2	89.0%	$0.18

315 of 315 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$145.56K
Hyperlong	$822.82
eNakeVets	$762.73

Topic room

Read this market in context

Best AI Model oddsWhich company will have the best AI model at the end of this month?

What to watch in Best AI Model

Release timing: a flagship model shipped shortly before a deadline usually takes the top rank for it
Changes to the leaderboard's method or categories, which the rules may or may not follow
Compute deals, chip supply and data-centre capacity announced by each lab

Research behind the numbers

Analytics