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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 3.2K | $0.317 | $2.58K | +$1.56K |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 499.99 | $0.280 | $140 | 11d ago |
 |
| No |
| 479.59 |
| $0.625 |
| $479.35 |
| +$179.35 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 428.58 | $0.700 | $370.72 | +$70.72 |
 AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? | No | 400 | $0.750 | $338 | +$38 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 343.78 | $0.582 | $311.12 | +$111.12 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 2.1K | $0.171 | $231.1 | -$128.9 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | Yes | 1.03K | $0.157 | $143.93 | -$17.57 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2K | $0.110 | $130.3 | -$90.2 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 499.99 | $0.280 | $112.5 | -$27.5 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.67K | $0.120 | $91.67 | -$108.33 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | No | 1.58K | $0.252 | $71.31 | -$328.69 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | Yes | 1.23K | $0.119 | $55.31 | -$90.94 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | No | 388.22 | $0.515 | $38.82 | -$161.18 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | Yes | 2.75K | $0.093 | $35.72 | -$220.28 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 119.76 | $0.167 | $18.14 | -$1.86 |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 456.4 | $0.110 | $6.85 | -$43.15 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.280 | $3.39 | -$6.61 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 66.67 | $0.150 | $0.8 | -$9.2 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 52.63 | $0.190 | $0.24 | -$9.76 |
| sell |
| 409.68 |
| $0.140 |
| $57.33 |
| Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Yes | sell | 882.39 | $0.169 | $149.36 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by August 31?Yes | buy | 29.9 | $0.069 | $2.06 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.420 | $168 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.450 | $90 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.160 | $48 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by August 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.080 | $0.4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by August 31?Yes | buy | 94.42 | $0.070 | $6.61 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by August 31?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.070 | $9.1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by August 31?Yes | buy | 161.57 | $0.062 | $10 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by August 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 408.16 | $0.490 | $200 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.55K | $0.057 | $88.06 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | sell | 817.01 | $0.140 | $114.38 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 600.46 | $0.083 | $50 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 456.4 | $0.110 | $50 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.260 | $20 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.290 | $20 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Top Five" or "Top Ten" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 45.99 | $0.217 | $10 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Democrat" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Top Five" or "Top Ten" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.029 | $30 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.700 | $100 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 227.27 | $0.440 | $100 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.140 | $100 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.54K | $0.065 | $100 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 465.12 | $0.430 | $200 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETUp | buy | 162.63 | $0.092 | $15 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETUp | buy | 26.74 | $0.561 | $15 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETDown | buy | 24.59 | $0.610 | $15 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETDown | buy | 30 | $0.500 | $15 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETDown | buy | 28.3 | $0.530 | $15 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETDown | buy | 30.61 | $0.490 | $15 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETUp | buy | 25.95 | $0.578 | $15 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETDown | sell | 25 | $0.656 | $16.4 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETDown | buy | 25 | $0.600 | $15 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.200 | $230 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.66K | $0.121 | $200 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.150 | $100 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.161 | $170 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.091 | $100 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETDown | buy | 53.57 | $0.560 | $30 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETUp | buy | 357.14 | $0.210 | $75 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 285.71 | $0.700 | $200 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 900 | $0.408 | $367.2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.67K | $0.080 | $133.33 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.09K | $0.080 | $166.91 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 343.78 | $0.582 | $200 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | Jul 7, 2026 |