Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 13.64 | $0.147 | $2.86 | +$0.86 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.8 | $0.048 | $1 | 3d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.41 |
| $0.710 |
| $1.19 |
| +$0.19 |
 Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30? | Yes | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Is Earth flat? | No | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | +$0 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.270 | $0.94 | -$0.06 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 20.8 | $0.048 | $0.8 | -$0.2 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.010 | $0.75 | -$0.25 |
 Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.160 | $0.66 | -$0.34 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 1.43 | $0.700 | $0.65 | -$0.35 |
 Will Alibaba be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 2.08 | $0.480 | $0.09 | -$0.91 |
| buy |
| 3.7 |
| $0.270 |
| $1 |
| 3d ago |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?No | buy | 3.58 | $0.279 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu in August?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-07-26?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will England win on 2026-07-15?Yes | buy | 2.76 | $0.362 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.165 | $5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Is Earth flat?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.029 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.057 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.9 | $0.112 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 8?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 8?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 8?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 8?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 8?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 8?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |