Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 40K | $0.500 | $37.14K | +$17.14K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 86.99 | $0.982 | $85.42 | 5d ago |
|
| No |
| 41.49K |
| $0.361 |
| $33.82K |
| +$18.84K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 5K | $0.749 | $4.27K | +$528.03 |
 Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.79K | $0.870 | $3.58K | +$289.05 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 40K | $0.500 | $2.86K | -$17.14K |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 2.08K | $0.882 | $2.04K | +$209.83 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.57K | $0.735 | $2.02K | +$127.58 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 2.22K | $0.680 | $1.99K | +$477.73 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 1.8K | $0.741 | $1.68K | +$349 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.59K | $0.830 | $1.38K | +$55.82 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.12K | $0.854 | $1.06K | +$101.78 |
 Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.07K | $0.948 | $1.04K | +$25.53 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 1.2K | $0.840 | $1.04K | +$30 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.59K | $0.690 | $1.03K | -$72.38 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.49K | $0.367 | $994.09 | +$445.79 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.05K | $0.746 | $978.82 | +$198.36 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 990.6 | $0.420 | $976.24 | +$560.18 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.830 | $966.5 | +$136.5 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | No | 1.05K | $0.910 | $960.75 | +$5.25 |
 Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 841 | $0.930 | $803.16 | +$21.03 |
 Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 743.01 | $0.933 | $724.81 | +$31.67 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 799.92 | $0.410 | $683.93 | +$355.96 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | Yes | 2.06K | $0.358 | $679.26 | -$57.13 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.51K | $0.201 | $622.74 | +$319.81 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 666 | $0.930 | $616.05 | -$3.33 |
| buy |
| 750 |
| $0.940 |
| $705 |
| 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.900 | $1.8K | 5d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.68K | $0.870 | $3.2K | 6d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.860 | $688 | 12d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.900 | $540 | 13d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | sell | 1.04K | $0.042 | $43.77 | 13d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.62K | $0.035 | $91.7 | 14d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes | buy | 574.61 | $0.130 | $74.7 | 14d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 1.74K | $0.910 | $1.58K | 14d ago |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?No | buy | 250 | $0.910 | $227.5 | 16d ago |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 481 | $0.840 | $404.04 | 17d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 700 | $0.830 | $581 | 19d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 894.99 | $0.830 | $742.84 | 19d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.997 | $100.7 | 19d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 18 hours?Yes | buy | 533.5 | $0.944 | $503.38 | 19d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 14 hours?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.890 | $26.7 | 19d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours?Yes | buy | 450.13 | $0.377 | $169.61 | 19d ago |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 92.69 | $0.690 | $63.96 | 19d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 16 hours?No | buy | 100 | $0.620 | $62 | 19d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | 19d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours?Yes | sell | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | 19d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 16 hours?No | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | 19d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.400 | $80 | 19d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.491 | $27 | 19d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed have between 20 and 29 Fortnite losses during their gauntlet?No | buy | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | 19d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours?Yes | buy | 775.51 | $0.569 | $441.16 | 19d ago |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 666 | $0.930 | $619.38 | 19d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 8 hours?No | buy | 228.86 | $0.969 | $221.74 | 20d ago |
 Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?No | buy | 600.77 | $0.881 | $529.34 | 20d ago |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?No | buy | 2.4K | $0.600 | $1.44K | 20d ago |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in New York by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 320.04 | $0.950 | $304.04 | 22d ago |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in Connecticut by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 270.76 | $0.950 | $257.22 | 22d ago |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?No | buy | 800 | $0.910 | $728 | 22d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.840 | $1.01K | 22d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.920 | $368 | 22d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No | buy | 575 | $0.790 | $454.25 | 23d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 666 | $0.770 | $512.82 | 23d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?No | buy | 844.12 | $0.910 | $768.15 | 23d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | buy | 7.27 | $0.560 | $4.07 | 23d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.090 | $72 | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.51K | $0.201 | $302.94 | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 739 | $0.950 | $702.05 | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.26K | $0.370 | $464.35 | 24d ago |
| Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 841 | $0.930 | $782.13 | 24d ago |
| Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 217.01 | $0.950 | $206.16 | 24d ago |
| Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 414.69 | $0.968 | $401.29 | 24d ago |
| Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 58.93 | $0.966 | $56.93 | 24d ago |
 Will SpaceX have fewer than 13 launches in August 2026?No | buy | 114 | $0.922 | $105.13 | 25d ago |
 Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 192.6 | $0.195 | $37.59 | 25d ago |