Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 291.22 | $0.544 | $234.43 | +$76.09 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?No | buy | 2.92 | $0.730 | $2.13 | 4h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 69.82 |
| $0.923 |
| $62.25 |
| -$2.22 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 35.03 | $0.826 | $29.6 | +$0.66 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 16.66 | $0.867 | $14.41 | -$0.03 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 14.66 | $0.969 | $14.38 | +$0.18 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 18.47 | $0.784 | $14.31 | -$0.17 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 15.63 | $0.710 | $13.67 | +$2.58 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 13.2 | $0.789 | $12.01 | +$1.59 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 12.72 | $0.860 | $10.87 | -$0.06 |
 Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? | Yes | 83.74 | $0.272 | $9.88 | -$12.94 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | No | 10.76 | $0.917 | $9.79 | -$0.08 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 15.56 | $0.378 | $9.57 | +$3.69 |
 Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.38 | $0.940 | $8.96 | +$0.14 |
 Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 8.08 | $0.964 | $7.85 | +$0.06 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 8.28 | $0.935 | $7.82 | +$0.09 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.26 | $0.702 | $7.71 | -$0.19 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | No | 7.63 | $0.268 | $7.53 | +$5.49 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 7.59 | $0.856 | $7.47 | +$0.97 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 7.35 | $0.964 | $7.13 | +$0.04 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 7.65 | $0.940 | $7.07 | -$0.11 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 6.85 | $0.930 | $6.37 | $0 |
 Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 6.85 | $0.932 | $6.33 | -$0.06 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | No | 5.86 | $0.678 | $5.84 | +$1.87 |
 Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.93 | $0.955 | $5.78 | +$0.12 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | Yes | 15.19 | $0.351 | $5.62 | +$0.29 |
| sell |
| 1 |
| $0.872 |
| $0.87 |
| 7h ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.4 | $0.919 | $30.7 | 9h ago |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.948 | $2.79 | 12h ago |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?No | sell | 0.84 | $0.931 | $0.78 | 13h ago |
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?No | buy | 4.89 | $0.880 | $4.3 | 18h ago |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.930 | $1.9 | 19h ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.977 | $2.92 | 1d ago |
 Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.88 | $0.670 | $2.6 | 2d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 3.07 | $0.440 | $1.35 | 2d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?Yes | buy | 5.5 | $0.200 | $1.1 | 3d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Yes | buy | 2.92 | $0.754 | $2.2 | 3d ago |
| Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?No | sell | 7 | $0.923 | $6.46 | 3d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.911 | $12.75 | 4d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.904 | $8.14 | 4d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.908 | $10.9 | 4d ago |
 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.940 | $1.88 | 4d ago |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | sell | 3 | $0.900 | $2.7 | 4d ago |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3 | $0.940 | $2.82 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | sell | 4 | $0.780 | $3.12 | 4d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?No | sell | 4 | $0.390 | $1.56 | 4d ago |
 Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 4 | $0.870 | $3.48 | 4d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 4 | $0.910 | $3.64 | 4d ago |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?No | sell | 6 | $0.911 | $5.47 | 4d ago |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 7 | $0.920 | $6.44 | 4d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.120 | $0.96 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.940 | $7.52 | 4d ago |
 Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.210 | $1.89 | 4d ago |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?No | sell | 11 | $0.910 | $10.01 | 4d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 11 | $0.860 | $9.46 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 12 | $0.690 | $8.28 | 4d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.340 | $4.76 | 4d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 19 | $0.780 | $14.82 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.860 | $12.9 | 4d ago |
 Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Yes | sell | 27 | $0.080 | $2.16 | 4d ago |
| Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.950 | $1.94 | 4d ago |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.950 | $2.79 | 4d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 2.93 | $0.910 | $2.67 | 4d ago |
| Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.91 | $0.880 | $3.44 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | buy | 3.9 | $0.800 | $3.12 | 4d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.91 | $0.920 | $3.6 | 4d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?No | buy | 3.81 | $0.420 | $1.6 | 4d ago |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 4.89 | $0.910 | $4.45 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?No | buy | 5.87 | $0.920 | $5.4 | 4d ago |
| Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?No | buy | 6.85 | $0.939 | $6.43 | 4d ago |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 6.85 | $0.930 | $6.37 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.83 | $0.950 | $7.44 | 4d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | buy | 8.08 | $0.130 | $1.05 | 4d ago |
| Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 8.26 | $0.230 | $1.9 | 4d ago |