Analytics
Flaner is down $184.78K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-06-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.07K | $0.500 | $846.94 | +$313.94 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-06-24 16:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 11:57 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 11:57 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-06-24 16:03 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $129.51K and losing ones cost $275.43K across the latest 50 settled positions. 32% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $18.51K on “Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $48.15K on “Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?” (No).
It has traded 794 markets. Its open positions are worth $3.6K across 54 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 394.29 |
| $0.320 |
| $356.83 |
| +$230.66 |
 New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? | No | 261.63 | $0.350 | $257.7 | +$166.13 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.07K | $0.500 | $219.06 | -$313.94 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | No | 204.73 | $0.730 | $202.07 | +$52.62 |
 Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | Yes | 263.45 | $0.682 | $188.37 | +$8.72 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | No | 332.94 | $0.463 | $169.8 | +$15.65 |
 Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? | No | 198.51 | $0.660 | $161.79 | +$30.77 |
 Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? | No | 154.86 | $0.675 | $151.69 | +$47.11 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 200 | $0.570 | $123 | +$9 |
 Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? | No | 100 | $0.782 | $96.35 | +$18.15 |
 Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | 91.41 | $0.780 | $88.53 | +$17.23 |
 SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? | No | 100 | $0.790 | $85.5 | +$6.5 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? | Yes | 241.93 | $0.788 | $77.42 | -$113.26 |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | Yes | 235.33 | $0.720 | $60.01 | -$109.43 |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | No | 207.39 | $0.800 | $52.88 | -$113.03 |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | Yes | 66.76 | $0.650 | $51.74 | +$8.35 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | Yes | 526.19 | $0.378 | $36.83 | -$161.86 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 346.68 | $0.280 | $35.19 | -$61.88 |
 Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | Yes | 223.17 | $0.560 | $34.59 | -$90.38 |
 Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? | Yes | 704.79 | $0.084 | $30.31 | -$28.9 |
 Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | No | 35 | $0.900 | $26.43 | -$5.08 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 157.43 | $0.220 | $24.4 | -$10.23 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.590 | $22.5 | -$36.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.270 | $19.5 | -$7.5 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
