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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.17K | $0.500 | $885.58 | +$302.58 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?Yes | buy | 704.79 | $0.084 | $59.2 | 10d ago |
 |
| No |
| 394.29 |
| $0.320 |
| $343.03 |
| +$216.86 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | No | 332.28 | $0.430 | $302.37 | +$159.49 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.17K | $0.500 | $280.42 | -$302.58 |
 New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? | No | 261.63 | $0.350 | $251.69 | +$160.12 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | No | 204.73 | $0.730 | $199.92 | +$50.47 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | Yes | 526.19 | $0.378 | $197.32 | -$1.37 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 181.12 | $0.800 | $176.5 | +$31.61 |
 Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | Yes | 263.45 | $0.682 | $155.44 | -$24.21 |
 Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? | No | 198.51 | $0.660 | $145.9 | +$14.89 |
 Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? | No | 154.86 | $0.675 | $142.47 | +$37.9 |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 329.65 | $0.299 | $100.54 | +$1.84 |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? | Yes | 704.79 | $0.084 | $99.38 | +$40.17 |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | No | 207.39 | $0.800 | $94.36 | -$71.55 |
 Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? | No | 100 | $0.782 | $90.2 | +$12 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 199.99 | $0.398 | $80.7 | +$1 |
 SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? | No | 100 | $0.790 | $78 | -$1 |
 Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | 91.41 | $0.780 | $72.21 | +$0.91 |
 Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | No | 172.55 | $0.650 | $50.9 | -$61.26 |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | Yes | 66.76 | $0.650 | $45.06 | +$1.67 |
 Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | Yes | 223.17 | $0.560 | $37.94 | -$87.04 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 237.58 | $0.210 | $36.23 | -$13.66 |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | Yes | 5.29K | $0.385 | $34.39 | -$2K |
 Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 158.51 | $0.430 | $34.08 | -$34.08 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? | Yes | 241.93 | $0.788 | $33.87 | -$156.81 |
| buy |
| 984.83 |
| $0.011 |
| $11.18 |
| 10d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | buy | 160.41 | $0.360 | $57.75 | 12d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | buy | 1.76K | $0.400 | $704.82 | 12d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 108.1 | $0.377 | $40.8 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 100 | $0.380 | $38 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 435.39 | $0.436 | $189.82 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 238.6 | $0.453 | $108.16 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 40.1 | $0.450 | $18.05 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 8 | $0.440 | $3.52 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 85 | $0.430 | $36.55 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 30 | $0.440 | $13.2 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to ScoreNo | sell | 299.96 | $0.970 | $290.96 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?No | buy | 515.43 | $0.002 | $1.03 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 0.5Under | buy | 2.04K | $0.039 | $79.59 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsTeam Falcons | buy | 10.09 | $0.680 | $6.86 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No | buy | 50.81 | $0.600 | $30.49 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 100.81 | $0.730 | $73.59 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | buy | 4.24 | $0.236 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.160 | $1.65 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Yes | buy | 10.51 | $0.300 | $3.15 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Yes | buy | 10.51 | $0.300 | $3.15 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.250 | $4 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 487.45 | $0.940 | $458.2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.37K | $0.290 | $397.2 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 645.83 | $0.065 | $41.98 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 987.58 | $0.064 | $63.21 | May 23, 2026 |
 Chirayu Rana sued?No | buy | 135.01 | $0.300 | $40.5 | May 15, 2026 |
| Chirayu Rana sued?No | buy | 8.6K | $0.307 | $2.64K | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 53.03 | $0.490 | $25.98 | May 15, 2026 |
 US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?No | sell | 156.75 | $0.981 | $153.77 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 401.05 | $0.127 | $50.93 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.29K | $0.141 | $605.08 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 49 | $0.270 | $13.23 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 229.62 | $0.234 | $53.75 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 910.22 | $0.254 | $231.2 | May 4, 2026 |
| Chirayu Rana sued?No | buy | 223 | $0.110 | $24.53 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.079 | $1.59 | May 1, 2026 |
| Chirayu Rana sued?No | buy | 37.22 | $0.100 | $3.72 | May 1, 2026 |
| Chirayu Rana sued?No | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | May 1, 2026 |
 Chirayu Rana fired?No | buy | 200 | $0.410 | $82 | May 1, 2026 |
| Chirayu Rana fired?No | buy | 531 | $0.500 | $265.5 | May 1, 2026 |
| Chirayu Rana sued?No | buy | 500 | $0.240 | $120 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 308.39 | $0.400 | $123.36 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 3.46 | $0.510 | $1.76 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.565 | $5.65 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | Apr 28, 2026 |