Analytics
Yes is at 15%, down 35 points from 49.5% when the market opened on 18 Mar 2026.
Across the 201 daily closes on record from 18 Mar 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 57% on 9 May 2026 and the lowest 15% on 25 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 16.5%; a month before, 28.5%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 51.5% on 21 Sep 2026.
$65 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $52.66K since listing. The order book holds $121.52, with a 6.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2.56K bought Yes and $12.87K bought No.
The largest Yes position is pkz with 1.3K shares; the largest No position is Nobody23041 with 393. Ten wallets hold 67.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 3:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 201 points, 18 Mar 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Mar 2026 | 49.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 15.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pkz | Yes | 1.26K |
| lineth | Yes | 595.7 |
| Nobody23041 | No | 392.91 |
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) may be preparing a proposal that could eliminate the requirement for publicly traded companies to file quarterly earnings reports. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/us-sec-preparing-eliminate-quarterly-reporting-requirement-wsj-says-2026-03-16/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission votes to approve a rule or otherwise formally enacts a policy that removes the requirement for publicly traded companies to file quarterly earnings reports by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Narrow company or industry specific removals of quarterly earnings requirements will not qualify. Likewise a general removal of the rules which maintains the quarterly reporting requirement for specific companies will qualify. Any approving vote on a rule change that reduces the requirement to report earnings from quarterly to a less frequent cadence will qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sec-removes-quarterly-reporting-requirement
| warptrading |
| No |
| 384.61 |
| Descriptive-Cooking | No | 354.97 |
| cryptoincome | No | 300 |
| Fulgurator | No | 271.76 |
| Last-Tab | No | 248.1 |
| extractive-manatee | No | 185.8 |
| Uneven-Pipe | No | 183 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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