Analytics
Yes is at 1.6%, down 74 points from 76% when the market opened on 4 Mar 2026.
Across the 219 daily closes on record from 4 Mar 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 95% on 22 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.9% on 9 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2%; a month before, 2.7%. Its largest one-day move was 52 points down, to 9.5% on 9 May 2026.
$71.77K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $15.21K, with a 1.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 375 trades, $2.52K bought Yes and $19.42K bought No; the largest was a $5.57K sell of No at 96.0¢.
The largest Yes position is OkaneKasegu with 1,000 shares; the largest No position is 57284910 with 815. Ten wallets hold 80.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 10:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 219 points, 4 Mar 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2026 | 76.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 1.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| OkaneKasegu | Yes | 1K |
| 57284910 | No | 815.48 |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | No | 513.87 |
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market. The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/new-virginia-congressional-map-used-in-the-midterms
| Flaner | No | 261.63 |
| Female-Tailbud | Yes | 208.42 |
| peepeepooppoop | Yes | 199.98 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 165.73 |
| 2200FCA4fE3bAb3706522A8F4436B7656911474f. | Yes | 150 |
| qqqppp-l1 | Yes | 100 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 74.17 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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