Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 499.81K | $0.866 | $452.33K | +$19.58K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | buy | 580 | $0.910 | $527.8 | 3h ago |
|
| No |
| 171.97K |
| $0.877 |
| $169.4K |
| +$18.58K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 173.14K | $0.589 | $146.31K | +$44.31K |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 185.84K | $0.207 | $119.87K | +$81.36K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 100.35K | $0.978 | $99.99K | +$1.86K |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | 80.69K | $0.926 | $80.08K | +$5.34K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 185.84K | $0.207 | $65.97K | +$27.46K |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | No | 61.79K | $0.954 | $60.19K | +$1.23K |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 43.17K | $0.961 | $41.85K | +$367.35 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 41.27K | $0.923 | $38.38K | +$299 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 23.6K | $0.900 | $22.3K | +$1.06K |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 23.07K | $0.920 | $21.81K | +$590.24 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 17.49K | $0.809 | $16.52K | +$2.37K |
 Fetterman out by September 30, 2026? | No | 12.51K | $0.980 | $12.26K | +$1.18 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 623.89K | $0.008 | $11.54K | +$6.67K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 10.52K | $0.991 | $10.43K | +$4.68 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.21K | $0.870 | $8.88K | +$0.01 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? | No | 8.52K | $0.925 | $8.35K | +$466.72 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 8.92K | $0.889 | $8.08K | +$144.15 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 6.67K | $0.860 | $5.44K | -$300.31 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 10.21K | $0.650 | $4.65K | -$1.99K |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | No | 3.98K | $0.872 | $3.8K | +$331.59 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.09K | $0.910 | $3.7K | -$20.45 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2.88K | $0.660 | $2.43K | +$532.12 |
| Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.26K | $0.930 | $2.21K | +$102.76 |
| buy |
| 16.14K |
| $0.840 |
| $13.56K |
| 3h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | sell | 7.35K | $0.996 | $7.32K | 5h ago |
| Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.9K | $0.931 | $1.77K | 17h ago |
| Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 365.67 | $0.921 | $336.78 | 17h ago |
| Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.01K | $0.980 | $11.77K | 17h ago |
| Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 500.44 | $0.978 | $489.38 | 17h ago |
 Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?No | buy | 692.28 | $0.910 | $629.97 | 17h ago |
 Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.999 | $29.96 | 18h ago |
 Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | 18h ago |
| Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 46.3 | $0.990 | $45.84 | 19h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 1.49K | $0.985 | $1.47K | 19h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | sell | 20.99K | $0.996 | $20.9K | 19h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | buy | 6.26K | $0.880 | $5.51K | 19h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | sell | 39.87K | $0.996 | $39.71K | 19h ago |
| Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 100.16 | $0.959 | $96.09 | 19h ago |
| Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 69.1 | $0.960 | $66.32 | 19h ago |
 Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.02K | $0.005 | $5.11 | 3d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.74K | $0.920 | $20.92K | 6d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 16.13K | $0.989 | $15.96K | 6d ago |
 Will Ed Markey win the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary by 15–20%?No | buy | 113 | $0.999 | $112.89 | 8d ago |
| Will Ed Markey win the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary by 10–15%?No | buy | 220.07 | $0.999 | $219.78 | 8d ago |
| Will Ed Markey win the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary by 5–10%?No | buy | 198.55 | $0.999 | $198.27 | 8d ago |
| Will Ed Markey win the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary by less than 5%?No | buy | 184.35 | $0.999 | $184.11 | 8d ago |
 Will Seth Moulton win the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary by at least 5%?No | buy | 203.73 | $0.999 | $203.44 | 8d ago |
| Will Seth Moulton win the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary by less than 5%?No | buy | 43 | $0.999 | $42.96 | 8d ago |
| Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?No | buy | 11.04K | $0.995 | $10.98K | 9d ago |
| Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Yes | buy | 10.5K | $0.995 | $10.45K | 9d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 1.48K | $0.860 | $1.27K | 9d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?No | buy | 16.98K | $0.996 | $16.91K | 9d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?No | buy | 212.64 | $0.990 | $210.51 | 10d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?No | buy | 24.49K | $0.999 | $24.47K | 10d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?No | buy | 9.09K | $0.987 | $8.97K | 10d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?No | buy | 20.61K | $0.996 | $20.53K | 10d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?No | buy | 9.89K | $0.995 | $9.84K | 10d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?No | buy | 403.07 | $0.977 | $393.8 | 10d ago |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?No | buy | 324 | $0.973 | $315.2 | 10d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.93K | $0.860 | $1.66K | 10d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?No | buy | 52.09 | $0.990 | $51.57 | 10d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in August?No | buy | 200 | $0.997 | $199.4 | 10d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in August?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.999 | $1.02K | 10d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.07K | $0.910 | $3.7K | 10d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.21K | $0.870 | $8.88K | 10d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?No | buy | 1.6K | $0.994 | $1.59K | 10d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?No | buy | 2.84K | $0.998 | $2.84K | 10d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 30.08K | $0.961 | $28.91K | 10d ago |
 Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 18.44K | $0.003 | $55.32 | 12d ago |
 Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 26K | $0.003 | $78 | 12d ago |
 Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 98.06K | $0.003 | $294.19 | 12d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in August?No | buy | 16.41 | $0.992 | $16.28 | 12d ago |