Analytics
Yes is at 3.9%, down 85 points from 88.5% when the market opened on 19 Aug 2026.
Across the 62 daily closes on record from 19 Aug 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 88.5% on 19 Aug 2026 and the lowest 1.5% on 8 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.9%; a month before, 5.1%. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 32.5% on 22 Aug 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?”.
$3.65K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $719.77K since listing. The order book holds $53.43K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2.05K bought Yes and $15.08K bought No; the largest was a $6.5K sell of No at 94.3¢.
The largest Yes position is bussydouglas with 19.4K shares; the largest No position is Kevindoto with 51.7K. Ten wallets hold 62.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 11:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 62 points, 19 Aug 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2026 | 88.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 3.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kevindoto | No | 51.72K |
| bussydouglas | Yes | 19.41K |
| aff3 | No | 14.07K |
Lindsay Clancy has been charged by The Commonwealth of Massachusetts with three counts of murder for the death of her three children. You can read more about that here: https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lindsay Clancy is convicted of at least one murder charge in the ongoing Commonwealth v. Lindsay Clancy case by either the specified date, 11:59 PM ET or, in the event of a mistrial, by the end of any retrial that begins before that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this case ends due to a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, or results in a verdict of Not Guilty for all murder charges (including by reason of lack of criminal responsibility due to mental illness), this market will resolve to "No". A plea agreement will qualify to resolve this market "Yes" only if it results in a judgment of conviction for murder. If all murder charges against Clancy are dropped, or otherwise changed such that they are no longer considered murder, this market will immediately resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lindsay-clancy-convicted-of-murder
| pmtosat- |
| No |
| 13.51K |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | No | 12.86K |
| DualDelta | Yes | 11.95K |
| cambridgeisaac | Yes | 5.99K |
| Wetowl | Yes | 5.62K |
| Thommi5000 | Yes | 5.49K |
| Zoutyyy | Yes | 3.79K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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