Analytics
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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 174.21K | $0.850 | $148.95K | +$819.82 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 15.76K | $0.870 | $13.71K | 6h ago |
|
| No |
| 141.29K |
| $0.871 |
| $132.11K |
| +$9.11K |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 81.91K | $0.899 | $77.4K | +$3.78K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 44.02K | $0.870 | $38.52K | +$234.48 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 30.41K | $0.930 | $30K | +$1.72K |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 27.46K | $0.645 | $17.99K | +$264.03 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 18.45K | $0.958 | $17.63K | -$43.17 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | No | 15.05K | $0.920 | $15.04K | +$1.19K |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 16K | $0.799 | $13.68K | +$890.06 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 14.07K | $0.925 | $13.32K | +$294.07 |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? | No | 11.1K | $0.920 | $10.93K | +$721.5 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 4.12K | $0.906 | $3.62K | -$118.94 |
| Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026? | No | 2.82K | $0.920 | $2.64K | +$42.36 |
 Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 1.94K | $0.966 | $1.82K | -$47.82 |
 Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | No | 1.76K | $0.960 | $1.7K | +$7.06 |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | Yes | 2K | $0.650 | $1.08K | -$220 |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Yes | 424.32 | $0.980 | $420.29 | +$4.46 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 50 | $0.530 | $26.25 | -$0.25 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 0.38 | $0.917 | $0.37 | +$0.02 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 0.12 | $0.877 | $0.09 | -$0.01 |
| buy |
| 9.41K |
| $0.850 |
| $8K |
| 6h ago |
 US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazBen Shelton | buy | 2.74K | $0.590 | $1.62K | 7h ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 14.4K | $0.840 | $12.09K | 18h ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 70.52 | $0.820 | $57.83 | 18h ago |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 1.76K | $0.960 | $1.69K | 1d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 2.17K | $0.765 | $1.66K | 1d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 13.06K | $0.850 | $11.1K | 1d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 17.7K | $0.870 | $15.4K | 1d ago |
 Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 16.49K | $0.965 | $15.91K | 3d ago |
| Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 3.54K | $0.959 | $3.4K | 3d ago |
| Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 3.3K | $0.958 | $3.16K | 3d ago |
| Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | sell | 3.73K | $0.928 | $3.46K | 3d ago |
 Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No | buy | 5.35K | $0.836 | $4.47K | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win 34-37 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No | sell | 1.12K | $0.929 | $1.04K | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 88.55 | $0.820 | $72.61 | 3d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?No | buy | 2.82K | $0.920 | $2.6K | 4d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.07K | $0.926 | $13.02K | 4d ago |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 18.45K | $0.958 | $17.67K | 4d ago |
 US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah FernandezJessica Pegula | sell | 2K | $0.380 | $760 | 4d ago |
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Kamilla RakhimovaAryna Sabalenka | buy | 272.89 | $0.969 | $264.32 | 4d ago |
| US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah FernandezJessica Pegula | buy | 2K | $0.550 | $1.1K | 4d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.908 | $1.01K | 12d ago |
| Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 1.89K | $0.969 | $1.83K | 12d ago |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | sell | 14.9K | $0.891 | $13.28K | 12d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 17.9K | $0.860 | $15.4K | 12d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 8.09K | $0.910 | $7.36K | 12d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.920 | $4.6K | 12d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 419.23 | $0.820 | $343.77 | 12d ago |
| Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 7.41K | $0.974 | $7.22K | 14d ago |
| Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 7.14K | $0.945 | $6.74K | 15d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 21.6K | $0.830 | $17.93K | 17d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 5K | $0.830 | $4.15K | 17d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 2.98K | $0.906 | $2.7K | 17d ago |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | sell | 143.78 | $0.905 | $130.12 | 17d ago |
 Will Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?No | buy | 4.49K | $0.910 | $4.08K | 17d ago |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?No | buy | 1.86K | $0.972 | $1.81K | 17d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 9K | $0.760 | $6.84K | 18d ago |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz Play in the U.S. Open?Yes | buy | 3.6K | $0.975 | $3.51K | 18d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 12.6 | $0.878 | $11.06 | 18d ago |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 16.3K | $0.938 | $15.29K | 19d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 24.87K | $0.980 | $24.37K | 19d ago |
| Will AfD win 34-37 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No | buy | 3.15K | $0.947 | $2.98K | 19d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 2.06K | $0.870 | $1.79K | 19d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 16.86K | $0.650 | $10.96K | 19d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.63K | $0.660 | $7.67K | 19d ago |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?No | buy | 3.29K | $0.988 | $3.25K | 21d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22?No | buy | 10.01K | $0.930 | $9.31K | 21d ago |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100K | $0.998 | $99.8K | 21d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.39K | $0.996 | $8.35K | 21d ago |