Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 232.56 | $0.430 | $117.44 | +$17.44 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 7.14K | $0.014 | $100 | 2h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 159.84 |
| $0.626 |
| $98.3 |
| -$1.7 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 109.76 | $0.820 | $97.13 | +$7.13 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 7.14K | $0.014 | $96.43 | -$3.57 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 109.65 | $0.912 | $89.09 | -$10.91 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 430.98 | $0.232 | $84.26 | -$15.74 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 429.18 | $0.233 | $62.02 | -$37.98 |
 Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | Yes | 2.23K | $0.027 | $51.4 | -$8.6 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.350 | $50.93 | +$0.93 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 269.23 | $0.130 | $41.73 | +$6.73 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 135.14 | $0.370 | $39.86 | -$10.14 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 156.93 | $0.637 | $32.95 | -$67.05 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 168.92 | $0.148 | $26.77 | +$1.77 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 102.94 | $0.340 | $26.25 | -$8.75 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 28.74 | $0.870 | $22.84 | -$2.16 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 330.13 | $0.076 | $22.28 | -$2.72 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 63.49 | $0.630 | $13.02 | -$26.98 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 333.16 | $0.090 | $12.99 | -$17.01 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 357.14 | $0.028 | $12.32 | +$2.32 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 44.17 | $0.226 | $8.61 | -$1.39 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 1.05K | $0.119 | $8.37 | -$116.63 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 849.19 | $0.235 | $6.37 | -$193.63 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.080 | $4.69 | -$0.31 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | Yes | 315.28 | $0.006 | $2.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? | Yes | 174.08 | $0.011 | $1.13 | -$0.87 |
| sell |
| 577.84 |
| $0.198 |
| $114.5 |
| 20h ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 330.13 | $0.076 | $25 | 20h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 135.14 | $0.370 | $50 | 20h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Yes | buy | 159.84 | $0.626 | $100 | 20h ago |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 44.17 | $0.226 | $10 | 1d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 269.23 | $0.130 | $35 | 1d ago |
 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No | sell | 140.44 | $0.918 | $128.91 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 367.15 | $0.041 | $15.16 | 4d ago |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.021 | $1.05 | 4d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 105.55 | $0.004 | $0.42 | 14d ago |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.003 | $1.5 | 14d ago |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.028 | $10 | 14d ago |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | 14d ago |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 168.92 | $0.148 | $25 | 14d ago |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 218.23 | $0.046 | $10 | 14d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 333.16 | $0.090 | $30 | 14d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 541.18 | $0.080 | $43.29 | 21d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 577.85 | $0.087 | $50 | 25d ago |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 217.93 | $0.980 | $213.57 | 26d ago |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | buy | 28.74 | $0.870 | $25 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | sell | 96.77 | $0.028 | $2.75 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 96.77 | $0.031 | $3 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?No | buy | 139.72 | $0.036 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 102.94 | $0.340 | $35 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?Yes | buy | 174.08 | $0.011 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 282.54 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 315.28 | $0.006 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | sell | 32.99 | $0.002 | $0.07 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | sell | 40 | $0.001 | $0.04 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes | buy | 70.07 | $0.999 | $70 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | sell | 34.66 | $0.020 | $0.69 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.350 | $50 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | sell | 50 | $0.028 | $1.4 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | buy | 32.99 | $0.030 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | buy | 34.67 | $0.029 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes | sell | 110.11 | $0.981 | $108.02 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 386.64 | $0.029 | $11.21 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 63.49 | $0.630 | $40 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 105.56 | $0.189 | $20 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.43K | $0.004 | $5.71 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 64.1 | $0.997 | $63.91 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 232.56 | $0.430 | $100 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 109.76 | $0.820 | $90 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 412.02 | $0.180 | $74.19 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 227.27 | $0.530 | $120.45 | Jun 24, 2026 |