Latest trade
Oct 14, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 4:30 AM UTC.
Analytics
hermeticus is down $19.49 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 11 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-19 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 14, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 4:30 AM UTC.
$1.84 median trade
Its latest 26 trades covered 17 markets; 84.6% were buys. They run from Jan 21, 2026 UTC to Oct 14, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | Yes | 2.7 | $0.370 | $0.88 | -$0.12 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | 6d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-19 13:30 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 04:30 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
26 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 04:30 UTC
polymarket positions
13 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-19 13:30 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $5.59 and losing ones cost $8.94 across 11 settled positions. 72.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.16 on “Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $7 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET” (Down).
Its most recent trade on record was on 14 Oct 2026. It has traded 17 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.9 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 4.35 |
| $0.230 |
| $0.67 |
| -$0.33 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.35 | -$0.65 |
| buy |
| 2.7 |
| $0.370 |
| $1 |
| 6d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.941 | $5.22 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 11.76 | $0.140 | $1.65 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in August?Yes | sell | 4.25 | $0.110 | $0.47 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.052 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.630 | $3 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $100 in August?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in August?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.540 | $3 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?Yes | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETUp | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 23.04 | $0.217 | $5 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.370 | $1.85 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 4.49 | $0.410 | $1.84 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETDown | buy | 149.89 | $0.040 | $6 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETDown | buy | 5.5 | $0.180 | $0.99 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETUp | sell | 2 | $0.690 | $1.38 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETUp | buy | 1.98 | $0.490 | $0.97 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.769 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 1.15 | $0.860 | $0.99 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETUp | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.