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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 440.56 | $0.908 | $405.31 | +$5.31 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?Yes | buy | 5.96 | $0.460 | $2.74 | 5m ago |
 |
| No |
| 353.82 |
| $0.863 |
| $340.56 |
| +$35.25 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 248.28 | $0.898 | $239.34 | +$16.31 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | No | 229.86 | $0.816 | $229.75 | +$42.14 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 173.99 | $0.892 | $169.99 | +$14.71 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 193.03 | $0.780 | $168.9 | +$18.34 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 158.82 | $0.734 | $122.29 | +$5.71 |
 Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 100.78 | $0.940 | $96.24 | +$1.51 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 175.97 | $0.359 | $92.38 | +$29.14 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 102.26 | $0.896 | $91.52 | -$0.15 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 108.73 | $0.906 | $91.33 | -$7.21 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 89.71 | $0.800 | $82.98 | +$11.21 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 80.66 | $0.788 | $80.29 | +$16.75 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 181.67 | $0.203 | $76.67 | +$39.79 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 80.96 | $0.341 | $70.84 | +$43.25 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 100.04 | $0.670 | $70.53 | +$3.5 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 75 | $0.817 | $69 | +$7.7 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | Yes | 151.28 | $0.469 | $68.83 | -$2.19 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 75.99 | $0.784 | $66.49 | +$6.93 |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 159.72 | $0.741 | $62.29 | -$56.09 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 90.61 | $0.590 | $59.35 | +$5.89 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | Yes | 75.08 | $0.754 | $53.31 | -$3.3 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 56 | $0.910 | $52.36 | +$1.4 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | Yes | 121.59 | $0.440 | $49.85 | -$3.65 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 71.2 | $0.710 | $48.06 | -$2.46 |
| sell |
| 106 |
| $0.990 |
| $104.94 |
| 1h ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 106 | $0.990 | $104.94 | 1h ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Budget" during the next PMQ?Yes | sell | 56.81 | $0.990 | $56.24 | 1h ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Budget" during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 56.81 | $0.984 | $55.88 | 1h ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Ukraine" during the next PMQ?Yes | sell | 11.9 | $0.900 | $10.71 | 1h ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Ukraine" during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 24.64 | $0.984 | $24.25 | 1h ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Investment" during the next PMQ?Yes | sell | 36.86 | $0.990 | $36.49 | 1h ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Investment" during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 36.86 | $0.990 | $36.49 | 1h ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Defence" during the next PMQ?Yes | sell | 83.89 | $0.809 | $67.86 | 1h ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Defence" during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 83.89 | $0.988 | $82.86 | 1h ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100.04 | $0.670 | $67.03 | 1h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 7.8 | $0.440 | $3.43 | 2h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 21.45 | $0.440 | $9.44 | 3h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 24.48 | $0.440 | $10.77 | 3h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 24.57 | $0.440 | $10.81 | 3h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 24.57 | $0.440 | $10.81 | 3h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 12.23 | $0.440 | $5.38 | 3h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 6.5 | $0.440 | $2.86 | 3h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?Yes | buy | 125.35 | $0.200 | $25.07 | 3h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Yes | buy | 75.08 | $0.754 | $56.61 | 4h ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | 9h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 32.8 | $0.640 | $20.99 | 14h ago |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in August?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.510 | $3.23 | 15h ago |
| Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 30.21 | $0.620 | $18.73 | 15h ago |
 Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Real Madrid CF | buy | 1.53K | $0.186 | $284.75 | 17h ago |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Real Madrid CF | buy | 610.61 | $0.380 | $232.03 | 17h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 185.14 | $0.910 | $168.48 | 17h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 252.58 | $0.907 | $228.97 | 19h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.83 | $0.900 | $2.55 | 20h ago |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August?Yes | buy | 6.19 | $0.360 | $2.23 | 21h ago |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?Yes | buy | 6.07 | $0.570 | $3.46 | 23h ago |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.370 | $1.76 | 23h ago |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | 23h ago |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?Yes | buy | 2.46 | $0.570 | $1.4 | 23h ago |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.370 | $2.4 | 23h ago |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?Yes | buy | 4.93 | $0.570 | $2.81 | 23h ago |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?Yes | buy | 1.9 | $0.569 | $1.08 | 23h ago |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August?Yes | buy | 4.11 | $0.370 | $1.52 | 23h ago |
 Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco FerrariFrancesco Ferrari | sell | 6.84K | $0.370 | $2.53K | 1d ago |
| Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco FerrariFrancesco Ferrari | sell | 31.82K | $0.112 | $3.56K | 1d ago |
| Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco FerrariFrancesco Ferrari | sell | 1.12K | $0.111 | $123.34 | 1d ago |
| Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco FerrariFrancesco Ferrari | buy | 345 | $0.020 | $6.75 | 1d ago |
| Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco FerrariFrancesco Ferrari | buy | 27.18K | $0.010 | $271.78 | 1d ago |
| Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco FerrariFrancesco Ferrari | buy | 1.14K | $0.026 | $29.39 | 1d ago |
| Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco FerrariFrancesco Ferrari | buy | 673.15 | $0.030 | $20.21 | 1d ago |
| Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco FerrariFrancesco Ferrari | buy | 9.37K | $0.001 | $9.37 | 1d ago |
| Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco FerrariFrancesco Ferrari | buy | 919.33 | $0.030 | $27.58 | 1d ago |
| Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco FerrariFrancesco Ferrari | buy | 147.6 | $0.050 | $7.38 | 1d ago |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August?Yes | buy | 15.86 | $0.350 | $5.55 | 1d ago |