Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.58K | $0.807 | $2.66K | -$1.04K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will "Practical Magic 2" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 8 | $0.990 | $7.92 | 51m ago |
|
| No |
| 1.9K |
| $0.905 |
| $1.76K |
| +$38.46 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.2K | $0.885 | $1.12K | +$60 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 1.2K | $0.783 | $1.05K | +$110 |
 Will "By Any Means" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | No | 1K | $0.990 | $998 | +$8.33 |
| Will "Practical Magic 2" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | No | 1K | $0.983 | $995.5 | +$12.32 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 1K | $0.884 | $900 | +$16 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 1K | $0.772 | $865 | +$92.78 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 894.89 | $0.837 | $800.93 | +$52.17 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 800 | $0.925 | $756 | +$16 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 777.31 | $0.932 | $748.16 | +$23.78 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 3.7K | $0.481 | $721.63 | -$1.06K |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 750 | $0.877 | $708.75 | +$50.75 |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | No | 1.12K | $0.686 | $707.05 | -$65.33 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 700 | $0.976 | $693.35 | +$10.35 |
 Will "Fall 2: Deadpoint" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Yes | 700 | $0.976 | $686.35 | +$3.26 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 700 | $0.917 | $612.5 | -$29.5 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 624.88 | $0.896 | $610.51 | +$50.79 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 626.58 | $0.882 | $605.91 | +$53.26 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | No | 699.99 | $0.736 | $605.49 | +$90.5 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520? | No | 632.92 | $0.911 | $596.84 | +$20.25 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 599.99 | $0.953 | $567.89 | -$3.7 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 600 | $0.933 | $567 | +$7 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 600.01 | $0.930 | $555.01 | -$3 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 711.58 | $0.678 | $544.36 | +$62.07 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.979 |
| $195.76 |
| 51m ago |
| Will "Fall 2: Deadpoint" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.989 | $197.86 | 1h ago |
| Will "Fall 2: Deadpoint" score at least 52 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 145.15 | $0.714 | $103.66 | 1h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | sell | 40 | $0.120 | $4.8 | 3h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 400 | $0.040 | $16 | 3h ago |
 Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | 5h ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | sell | 99.82 | $0.290 | $28.95 | 9h ago |
| Will "Practical Magic 2" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 300 | $0.979 | $293.85 | 10h ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | sell | 450 | $0.270 | $121.5 | 12h ago |
 Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 51m?No | buy | 100 | $0.945 | $94.52 | 13h ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 40 | $0.843 | $33.72 | 13h ago |
| Will "By Any Means" score at least 54 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 200 | $0.940 | $188 | 14h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.930 | $279 | 14h ago |
 Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 5.7 | $0.790 | $4.5 | 21h ago |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | 21h ago |
| Will "Practical Magic 2" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 500 | $0.990 | $494.99 | 22h ago |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | buy | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | 22h ago |
 Will Centre Party (C) win less than 5% of all valid votes?No | buy | 50 | $0.966 | $48.3 | 22h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.840 | $42 | 22h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.900 | $180 | 22h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | 22h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 50 | $0.580 | $29 | 22h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.410 | $20.5 | 22h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 53.2 | $0.550 | $29.26 | 22h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.429 | $85.74 | 22h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 15 | $0.600 | $9 | 22h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.370 | $5.55 | 22h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 100 | $0.665 | $66.51 | 23h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.450 | $90 | 23h ago |
| Will "By Any Means" score at least 54 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 145 | $0.767 | $111.2 | 23h ago |
| Will "By Any Means" score at least 52 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 200 | $0.750 | $150 | 23h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 200 | $0.750 | $150 | 1d ago |
| Will "Practical Magic 2" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 300 | $0.990 | $296.99 | 1d ago |
| Will "Practical Magic 2" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 500 | $0.976 | $488.19 | 1d ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.780 | $78 | 1d ago |
 Will John Ternus say "Afford" or "Affordable" during his Apple Keynote?No | buy | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | 1d ago |
 Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.945 | $94.5 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?No | buy | 200 | $0.894 | $178.79 | 1d ago |
 Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.942 | $94.2 | 1d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 9?No | buy | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | 1d ago |
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.981 | $196.13 | 1d ago |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 92.22 | $0.790 | $72.85 | 1d ago |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.988 | $197.6 | 1d ago |
 Will United Russia win the next Kursk Oblast Parliament elections?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.983 | $98.32 | 1d ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.983 | $196.6 | 1d ago |
 Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.982 | $98.2 | 1d ago |
 Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?No | buy | 200 | $0.980 | $196 | 1d ago |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 300 | $0.560 | $167.95 | 1d ago |
 Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.960 | $38.4 | 1d ago |