Analytics
Gain/loss breakdown unavailable for the returned position data.
Mithrandir. has made $10.35K on Polymarket.
Not enough settled positions to measure.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.73K | $0.739 | $2.11K | -$2.12K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
Observation time unavailable
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 21:39 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 21:39 UTC
unavailable
No reliable series returned
No dated chart point
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
It has traded 2,317 markets. Its open positions are worth $56.18K across 504 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.2K |
| $0.829 |
| $960 |
| -$34.5 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 1.04K | $0.790 | $858.79 | +$36.18 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 900.01 | $0.891 | $832.51 | +$30.5 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 888.56 | $0.812 | $755.27 | +$33.89 |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | No | 972.06 | $0.683 | $689.19 | +$25.66 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | Yes | 748.12 | $0.838 | $677.05 | +$50.11 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 900 | $0.871 | $661.5 | -$122.5 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 700 | $0.903 | $647.5 | +$15.5 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | Yes | 600 | $0.917 | $595.5 | +$45.5 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 600.01 | $0.930 | $586.51 | +$28.5 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 999.99 | $0.632 | $584.99 | -$47 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 600.01 | $0.961 | $578.41 | +$1.6 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 600 | $0.933 | $573.9 | +$13.9 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 600 | $0.885 | $567 | +$36 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | No | 611.69 | $0.736 | $553.58 | +$103.55 |
 Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | No | 600 | $0.940 | $543 | -$21 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 710 | $0.761 | $528.95 | -$11.25 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 600 | $0.772 | $513 | +$49.67 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 600 | $0.803 | $501 | +$19 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | Yes | 1.15K | $0.326 | $454.24 | +$79.75 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 3.9K | $0.465 | $448.57 | -$1.36K |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.541 | $431.25 | -$244.75 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 438.13 | $0.953 | $418.85 | +$1.46 |
 Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | 506.47 | $0.692 | $407.71 | +$57.45 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
